Sat TV Trends: 12th Jan 2013

Kempton stages the Lanzarote Hurdle

The Lanzarote Hurdle, from Kempton, and the Betfred Classic Chase, at Warwick, are this Saturday’s main events – Andy Newton’s covered all the LIVE C4 races for you…….

Kempton (RUK/C4)

2.05 – William Hill iPad App Now Available Handicap Chase (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-135) CH4 2m4f110y

9/9 – Had won no more than twice over fences before
9/9 – Officially rated 130 or less
8/9 – Aged 9 or younger
8/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or less
7/9 – Carried 11-4 or less
7/9 – Had won just 1 or 2 times over fences before
7/9 – Irish bred
7/9 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
6/9 – Aged either 8 or 9 years-old
6/9 – Had won over at least 2m3f (fences) before
6/9 – Had run over fences at Kempton before (1 won)
5/9 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Officially rated between 122-130
5/9 – Placed favourites
4/9 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Raced at Ludlow last time out
1/9 – Won last time out
1/9 – Went onto win a race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2007 Idole First RP Plate)
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2

Note: The 2006 running was staged at Carlisle

2.40 – William Hill Lanzarote Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m5f

11/11 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
11/11 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
10/11 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
10/11 – Never won a hurdles race over this trip (or longer) previously
9/11 – Winning distance – 2 ¼ lengths or less
8/11 – Won exactly 2 times over hurdles previously
8/11 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
8/11 – Won by a horse that carried 10-11 or less
7/11 – Winners that went onto race at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/11 – Favourites placed
7/11 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
7/11 – Won by either an Irish (4) or French (3) bred horse
6/11 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Won their latest race
4/11 – Had raced at Kempton before (3 won)
3/11-  Favourites that won
2/11 – Won by the Nick Williams yard
The average winning SP in the last 11 renewal is 10/1
The Gary Moore stable have won the race three time – 1996, 1998 & 2007
Since 1980 (31 runnings) there have been 28 winners aged 7 or younger

Note:  The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat (Rayshan & Buck Whaley) and staged at Carlisle

3.15 – Download The App Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+ 0-145) CH4 3m

No previous runnings
Nicky Henderson has a 34% record with this chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard is just 1 from 25 with his chasers at the course
Alan King is just 3 from 43 with his hurdlers at the track

Warwick (RUK/C4)

1.50 – Betfred “The Bonus King” Handicap Chase (for the Edward Courage Cup) (CLASS 3) (5yo+ 0-135) CH4 2m

6/6 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
6/6 – Won a chase race over 2 (or further)
5/6 – Returned 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/6 – Officially rated between 119-128
5/6 – Aged 7 or younger
5/6 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/6 – Carried 10-10 or more
4/6 – Winning favourites
4/6 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
4/6 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
4/6 – Placed favourites
3/6 – French bred
3/6 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
3/6 – Had run (fences) at Warwick before
3/6 – Aged 7 years-old
2/6 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 3/1

2.25 – Pertemps Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) (CLASS 2) (5yo+) CH4 3m1f

7/7 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/7 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
7/7 – Had won between 1-4 times over hurdles before
6/7 – Carried 10-12 or less
6/7 – Had won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
6/7 – Placed favourites
5/7 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
6/7 – Had never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
5/7 – Officially rated between 127-142
5/7 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/7 – Returned 13/2 or shorter in the betting
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Ran at Bangor last time out
2/7 – Won by Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/7 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/7 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 15/2

3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered Leamington Novices´ Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 2m5f

6/6 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
6/6 – Had won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
6/6 – Had raced within the last 5 weeks
6/6 – Had won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
6/6 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
5/6 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
5/6 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/6 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
4/6 – Winning favourites
4/6 – Placed favourites
3/6 – Aged 5 years-old
3/6 – Irish bred
2/6 – Won last time out
1/6 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle)
The average winning SP in the last 6 years is 3/1

3.35 –Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 3m5f

7/7 – Won a chase over at least 3m previously
7/7 – Had a race within the last 6 weeks
6/7 – Had an official rating of between 129-140
6/7 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
6/7 – Won between 2-5 times over fences previously
6/7 – Ran at Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) last time
5/7 – Won by a horse aged 9 or older
5/7 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
5/7 – Won by a horse that carried 11-1 or less
5/7 – Placed in the top 3 in their last race
5/7 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/7 – Raced at Warwick (hurdles, chase NH Flat) previously
5/7 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
4/7 – Won at a double-figure price
4/7 – Favourites unplaced
3/7 – Winners that went onto run in the Grand National that season (all 3 failed to finish)
2/7 – Won by the Alan King yard
2/7 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/7 – Ridden by jockey Ruby Walsh
2/7 – Won their last race
1/7 – Favourites that won
The average winning SP in the last 7 renewals is 10/1

 
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