Stat of the Day, 16th January 2013

Stat of the Day: 16/01/13

Stat of the Day, 16th January 2013

Shirazz wasn’t disgraced yesterday on debut, but she did only finish in mid-division as the market suggested she would. She was a little off the pace early doors and had no kick towards the end. Her next run should give a better indication of her future promise.

We’re going to stay on the All-Weather today and head South to the banks of the Thames (-ish!) for a two-mile Class 4 Handicap, aka the…

6.15 Kempton

This race is generally a competitive affair, but trainer Laura Mongan has managed to saddle the winner here in both 2010 and 2012 and bids for her third success in four years.

Her entry in today’s contest was last year’s winner, First Avenue who won this race in 2012 off a mark some 9lbs heavier than today. He has been going well over hurdles lately and enters today on good heart/form, making the top three in five of his last nine races since winning here last January.

The horse’s task should be helped today by the booking of in-form claimer Robert Tart, who in addition to bringing his 7lb claim to the table also possesses good profit figures from his races. He has a 32pt level stakes profit for the season and an 52.5pts profit overall on the A/W.

First Avenue won’t have it all his own way today, but any repetition of either the form from last year’s race or the way he ran recently at Sandown (an unlucky fall at the last denied what looked a victory) should put him there or thereabouts.

At 10.45am, the prices on offer varied from 4/1 to 6/1 and I feel he has a very good chance today, so it’s a 1pt win bet on First Avenue at 6/1 BOG with BetVictor. You can, of course, always check the odds on offer elsewhere by taking the opportunity to…

Click here for the latest betting on the 6.15 Kempton