Sat TV Trends: 26th Jan 2013

It’s Cheltenham Trials Day!

It’s Cheltenham Trials Day this Saturday at Prestbury Park and we’ve got the key trends and stats for ALL 8 races…..

Cheltenham (RUK/C4)

12.10 – JCB Triumph Hurdle Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Registered As The Finesse Juvenile Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo) RUK Soft 2m1f

8/9 – Had raced within the last 7 weeks
8/9 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Triumph Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Had previously won at least once over hurdles in the UK
5/9 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/9 – Went onto be placed in that season’s Triumph Hurdle (1 winner, Katchit 2007)
5/9 – Returned 2/1 or shorter in the market
4/9 – Trained by Alan King
4/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Ridden by Robert Thornton
3/9 – Won by a German bred horse
3/9 – Won by an Iris bred horse
3/9 – Had raced at Cheltenham previously
3/9 – Priced 25/1, 50/1 or 100/1
Average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 21/1

12.40 – Timeform Novices´ Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+) RUK Soft 2m5f

9/9 – Aged 8 or younger
9/9 – Winners that went onto ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (1 winner, La Landiere Cathcart 2003)
9/9 – Priced 13/2 or shorter
8/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/9 – Won between 0-2 races over fences in the UK previously
7/9 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
7/9 – Had won over at least 2 1/2f (fences) in the UK previously
7/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Finished either 1st or 2nd last time out
5/9 – Rated 130 or higher
5/9 – Carried 11-2 or more
4/9 – French bred
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/9 – Ran at Kempton last time out
3/9 – Trained by Venetia Williams
3/9 – Won with 11-12 in weight
2/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/2

1.15 – Murphy Group Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) RUK Soft 2m5f

9/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/9 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences previously
9/9 – Had won over at least 2m5f (fences) previously
8/9 – Aged 8 or older
8/9 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
7/9 – Rated 130 or higher
7/9 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
7/9 – Aged 8 or 9 years-old
7/9 – Had run over fences at Cheltenham before (4 won)
7/9 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/9 – Carried 10-7 or less
6/9 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
3/9 – Ran at Newbury last time out
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Won by the Pipe stable
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

1.50 – Victor Chandler Chase (Registered As The Clarence House Steeple Chase) Grade 1 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4  2m110y

10/10 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
10/10 – Won a race over fences at 2m1f or further
10/10 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
10/10 – Won at least 3 times (fences) previously
8/10 – Winners from the top 3 in the betting market
8/10 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
8/10 – Favourites placed
7/10 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Raced at Sandown (4) or Wetherby (3) last time out
7/10 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/10 – Won by a French-bred horse
6/10 – Went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (1 winner)
6/10 – Won their last race
5/10 – Won by a horse aged 8 years-old
4/10 – Favourites that won
3/10 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable (won the race 4 times in all)
2/10 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable (won the race 3 times in all)
2/10 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/10 – Had won the Tingle Creek Chase (Sandown) last time out
1/10 – Went onto win the Champion Chase that season (2009 – Master Minded)
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 9/2
Since 1989 there have only been 2 winners aged in double-figures
Since 1989 (22 runnings) there have been 10 winners aged 8 years-old
Note:
2006 – Renewal at Sandown
2005 – Renewal at Cheltenham

2.25 – Argento Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Steeple Chase) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 3m1f110y

9/9 – Officially rated 153 or higher
8/9 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Won between 3-6 times over fences previously
8/9 – Raced at Cheltenham previously over fences (5 had won)
8/9 – Raced over at least 3m (fences) previously
7/9 – Raced at either Wetherby (2), Cheltenham (2) or Kempton (3) last time
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Priced 6/1 or less
6/9 – Winning distance – 6 lengths or more
6/9 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners, all placed 8th or better)
6/9 – Won by a horse aged 9 or 10 years-old
5/9 – Winners from outside the top 3 in the market
5/9 – Unplaced in their last race
4/9 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
4/9 – Won by a French-bred horse
2/9 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/9 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/9 – Won their last race
0/9 – Favourites to win
Midnight Chase won the race in 2012
Average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 8/1

3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered The Classic Novices´ Hurdle Race) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 2m4f110y

7/7 – Placed 1st or 2nd in their last race
6/7 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
6/7 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
6/7 – Favourites placed
5/7 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles previously
5/7 – Winners that later raced at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (2 winners)
5/7 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
5/7 – Priced 7/2 or less
5/7 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
5/7 – Won their latest race
5/7 – Won by a horse aged 6 years-old
4/7 – Raced at Cheltenham previously
3/7 – Raced at Newbury last time out
3/7 – Favourites that won
2/7 – Won by the Nicky Henderson stable
2/7 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/7 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
2/7 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
Average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

3.35 – Rewards4Racing Cleeve Hurdle Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 3m

8/8 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
7/8 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
7/8 – Won at least 3 times over hurdles previously
7/8 – Ran in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle (3 won)
7/8 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/8 – Raced at Cheltenham (hurdles) previously
6/8 – Officially rated 155 or higher
6/8 – Winners that finished in the top 4 in that season’s Ladbrokes World Hurdle
5/8 – Finished either 1st or 2nd in their last race
5/8 – Favourites placed
4/8 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
4/8 – Won their latest race
3/8 – Favourites that won
3/8 – Won by a French-bred horse
2/8 – Won by the Paul Nicholls stable
2/8 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
Average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 7.4/1
Note: The 2006 running was staged at Sandown

4.10 – Steel Plate And Sections Handicap Hurdle (CLASS 2) (4yo+) RUK Soft 2m1f

8/8 – Had raced within the last 9 weeks
8/8 – Rated 121 or higher
7/8 – Had won between 1-3 times over hurdles in the UK before
7/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
6/8 – Had raced at Cheltenham before
6/8 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Winning distance – 1 ¼ or less
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
5/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
3/8 – French bred
2/8 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/8 – Ridden by Tom Scudamore
1/8 – Won last time out
1/8 – Winning favourites

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