Stat of the Day, 27th January 2013
A quick look at the in-running comments from yesterday tells us the tale of the race. The first three home were ‘held up’, ‘held up’, and ‘held up’, while our lad, Outlaw Torn, ‘led’. I was expecting him to sit in behind the speed, but instead he tried to make it… and in a race with pace, that will always be suicidal. No return on that investment then, and we roll on to today.
It’s over the sea today for the…
A very competitive race, for sure, but one that is skewed from a market perspective by the presence of an odds on favourite in Pont Alexandre. There’s three places to go at and a chance to beat the jolly too, so I’m interested in the prospects of Sizing Gold.
Henry de Bromhead’s 6yo has had five starts so far in his career, and finished 21221. The two most recent defeats were to smart graded horses in Seefood (reopposes today) and Don Cossack and, whilst he’s stepping up in class this afternoon, he’s taken on some good’uns already, including when seeing off Morning Assembly et al on his most recent run.
Andrew Lynch takes the ride, as he has done on all three of Sizing Gold’s hurdle starts, and there are few better judges of pace than him. This looks his trip all right, and he’s again expected to make the frame. With that in mind, 9/1 BOG with BetFred and Boylesports looks fair each way value.