Sat TV Trends: 2nd Feb 2013
Sandown, Ffos Las and Wetherby provide the LIVE C4 action this Saturday – Andy Newton’s got all the races covered from a trends angle…..
Sandown (C4/RUK)
1.50 – Betfred “The Home of Goals Galore” Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+ 0-145) CH4 Soft 2m
6 previous runnings
6/6 – Priced 10/1 or shorter
6/6 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
6/6 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
5/6 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/6 – Had won between 1-4 times over fences before
5/6 – Aged 9 or younger
4/6 – Carried 10-10 or less
4/6 – French bred
4/6 – Came from outside the top 4 in the betting
4/6 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/6 – Raced within the last 4 weeks
3/6 – Aged 7 years-old
3/6 – Winners that went to race in that season’s Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Chase
3/6 – Had an official rating of exactly 125
3/6 – Won last time out
3/6 – Had run over fences at Sandown before (2 won)
2/6 – Raced at Sandown last time out
2/6 – Trained by Nicky Hendserson
2/6 – Ridden by Timmy Murphy
0/6 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 6 runnings is 6.3/1
9/9 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/9 – Won no more than 3 times over fences before
9/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/9 – Aged 7 or younger
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Finished in the top 2 last time out
7/9 – Won between 1-3 times over fences before
7/9 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
6/9 – Winning favourites
6/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or more
6/9 – Aged 7 years-old
6/9 – Placed favourites
4/9 – French bred
4/9 – Irish bred
4/9 – Ran at Cheltenham last time out
4/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
3/9 – Winners that went onto finish in the top 5 in the RSA Chase
2/9 – Had run over fences at Sandown before
2/9 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
2/9 – Ridden by AP McCoy
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 5/2
3.00 – Betfred “The Bonus King” And Levy Board Heroes Handicap Hurdle Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) CH4 Heavy 2m6f ………..(Abandonned)
9/9 – Had run in the last 8 weeks
9/9 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
8/9 – Winners that went to race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
8/9 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or shorter
8/9 – Won only 2-3 times over hurdles previously
8/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) previously
8/9 – Carried 10-12 or less in weight
8/9 – Officially rated 135 or lower
7/9 – Winners that came from the top 3 in the market
7/9 – Priced 13/2 or less
6/9 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
5/9 – Favourites placed
4/9 – Raced over hurdles at Sandown previously (3 won)
4/9 – Won their last race
4/9 – Favourites that won
4/9 – Won by a French-bred horse
4/9 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
3/9 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
3/9 – Won by the Paul Nicholls yard
2/9 – Won by the Philip Hobbs yard
2/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
1/9 – Winners that went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (Ryanair Chase, 2007 Taranis)
The average winning SP in the last 9 renewals is 11/2
3.35 – Betfred Masters Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+) CH4 Soft 3m110y
9/9 – Carried 11-5 or less
9/9 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/9 – Had raced within the last 8 weeks
7/9 – Rated 136 or lower
6/9 – Had won between 1-3 times over fences (UK) before
6/9 – Aged 9 or younger
5/9 – Placed last time out
5/9 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Favourites placed in the top 4
5/9 – Raced at either Sandown (3) or Haydock (2) last time out
5/9 – Had raced at Sandown before (3 won)
4/9 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
4/9 – French-bred
3/9 – Irish-bred
2/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Winners that went onto finish unplaced in that season’s Grand National
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9.3/1
Ffos Las (C4/ATR)
2.05 – William Hill Welsh Champion Hurdle (Limited Handicap) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) CH4 Heavy 2m4f
Normally run at Chepstow the race was terminated in 2002, but brought back to life by Ffos Las racecourse in 2010 – however, there was no race in 2010, Oscar Whisky won a poor renewal in 2011, while the 2012 race was abandoned.
2.40 – William Hill West Wales National (Handicap Chase) (CLASS 2) (5yo+) CH4 Heavy 3m4f
No previous runnings
Tim Vaughan is 2 from 5 (40%) with his chasers at the track
David Pipe is 3-4 (75%) with his chasers at the course
Donald McCain is 2-from-2 with his chasers at the course
Jason Maguire is 2 from 3 (67%) when riding over fences here
Wetherby (C4/RUK)
3.20 – totepool.com Towton Novices´ Chase Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+) CH4 Soft 3m1f
8/8 – Aged 8 or younger
8/8 – Had never raced over fences at Wetherby before
7/8 – Priced 3/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/8 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
6/8 – Aged 7 years-old
6/8 – Placed favourites
6/8 – Raced within the last 7 weeks
6/8 – Won between 1-2 times over fences before
6/8 – Raced at either Cheltenham (3) or Warwick (3) last time out
5/8 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
5/8 – Won last time out
4/8 – Irish bred
3/8 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s RSA Chase (no winners, but all finished 5th or better)
2/8 – Trained by Ian Williams
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 3/1
CLICK ON THE RACE TITLES TO COMPARE THE LATEST BOOKMAKER ODDS
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