Stat of the Day, 3rd February 2013
No joy yesterday as Oh Crick finished just outside the places in 4th. At the second last, it looked like we were at least going to get some place money, but he weakened on the run in and was left behind by the eventual front three. We had a decent run for our money, but ultimately no reward..
I’m off out early on Sunday morning, so I’ve written this one up at some ungodly hour and I’ve decided to revert back to the All-Weather for today’s selection, which runs in a 7-runner, Class 6 Handicap over ten furlongs: the…
Robert Mills is having a decent run on the A/W this winter with seven winners from twenty-three races in the last two months alone and an overall strike rate for the whole winter campaign of over 26%. His record at Lingfield has been particularly good this winter too. From twenty-four contests he has managed to get 14 of them into the frame (58.33%), with eight of them (33.33%) actually winning. These eight winners have brought in 12pts at SP for a handy 50% return on investments.
Robert has just the one runner out today: Close Together.
Close Together is making only her second appearance on the A/W today: having already won here at Lingfield over a mile in October 2012. This three-year old filly hasn’t raced since then and should be ready and fresh for today’s encounter.
It was a fairly modest 1m maiden that she won here in October and she seems to have been allotted a fair mark now handicapping, which will also benefit from the 5lb claim from today’s jockey William Twiston-Davies;
She’s a filly from Dylan Thomas and is a half-sister to several winners including a winner of the group 2 Champagne Stakes, Close To You , who incidentally was 2 from 2 here on this A/W track, including a listed race.
Close Together kept on well when securing her maiden victory and she should have no trouble staying this extra two furlongs today based on her breeding, which does tend to suggest that this trip or even a quarter-mile further will be the eventual aim.
There’ll certainly not be enough in the market to take the safer E/W option today, but I’m confident of a big run from this filly today, so I’m happy to for a 1pt win bet on Close Together at 3/1 BOG with bet365. They were, in fact the only bookies with a price available at 0100, so it might be prudent to…