Sat TV Trends: 9th Feb 2013
Great Action At Newbury On Saturday
Plenty more Cheltenham clues on offer this weekend – Andy Newton’s got all the main races from Newbury, Warwick & Leopardstown covered for you……
NEWBURY (C4/RUK)
1.50 – Betfair. Don´T Settle For Less Handicap Hurdle
8/8 – Had won no more than 3 times over hurdles before
6/8 – Aged 7 or younger
6/8 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
6/8 – Carried 10-13 or more
6/8 – Had run within the last 9 weeks
6/8 – Had won over at least 2 ½ miles (hurdles) before
5/8 – Aged 7 years-old
5/8 – Unplaced last time out
5/8 – Carried 11-1 or more
4/8 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
4/8 – Had run over hurdles at Newbury before (no winners)
3/8 – French bred
3/8 – Winners that went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
2/8 – Raced at Haydock last time out
1/8 – Winning favourites
1/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9.4/1
2.25 – Betfair Denman Chase Grade 2
8/9 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Had won at least 4 times over fences (UK) before
7/9 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/9 – Rated 150+
7/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Aged 8 or younger
6/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Winners that went onto race in that season’s Gold Cup (2 winners)
6/9 – Raced at either Cheltenham (3) or Kempton (3) last time out
5/9 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/9 – Winning distance – ¾ length or less
5/9 – Had won over fences at Newbury before
4/9 – Irish bred
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Won last time out
3/9 – French bred
3/9 – Returned a double-figure price
2/9 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/9 – Winners that went onto win the Gold Cup (Denman & Kauto Star)
2/9 – Ridden by Richard Johnson
2/9 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 17/2
Note: 2009 running was staged at Kempton
3.00 – Betfair Super Saturday Chase (Registered As The Game Spirit Chase) Grade 2 (CLASS 1) (5yo+)
8/8 – Aged 8 or younger
8/8 – Placed favourites
8/8 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
7/8 – Winners went onto run in that season’s Champion Chase (2 winners)
7/8 – Winning distance – 5 lengths or more
6/8 – Had won at least 4 times over fences before
6/8 – Raced within the last 8 weeks
5/8 – French bred
5/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
4/8 – Ridden by Ruby Walsh
4/8 – Won last time out
4/8 – Had raced at Newbury (fences) before (2 winners)
4/8 – Winning favourites
3/8 – Ran at Sandown last time out
2/8 – Ridden by Barry Geraghty
2/8 – Trained by Nicky Henderson
1/8 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Arkle Chase
2/8 – Winners that went onto win that season’s Champion Chase
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 15/8
3.35 – Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) Grade 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+)
10/10 – Won between 2-4 times previously over hurdles
9/10 – Won by a horse aged 7 or younger
9/10 – Winners that came from the first 7 in the market
9/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or less
8/10 – Officially rated 130 or higher
8/10 – Went onto race at the Cheltenham Festival that season
8/10 – Ran within the last 8 weeks
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Carried 10-9 or less
7/10 – Won by a horse aged either 5 or 6 years-old
6/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
6/10 – Won their last race
6/10 – Favourites placed
5/10 – Winners from the top 5 in the market
5/10 – Won at a double-figure price
4/10 – Aged 5 years-old (including 4 of last 6)
3/10 – Favourites to win
3/10 – Ran at Cheltenham in their previous race
2/10 – Won by the Gary Moore yard
2/10 – Won by the Nicky Henderson yard (has won the race 4 times in all)
2/10 – Ran at Leopardstown last time out
1/10 – Won the County Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival later that season (Spirit Leader 2003)
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 13/1
WARWICK (C4/RUK)
2.05 – Warwick Racecourse Handicap Chase (CLASS 2) (5yo+)
3 previous runnings
3/3 – Aged 9 or younger
3/3 – Returned 17/2 or shorter in the betting
1/3 – Winning favourite (joint)
Nicky Henderson has a 38% record with this chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard has a 33% record (£41) with his chasers at the course
David Pipe has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Daryl Jacob has a 36% strike-rate with when riding over fences here
3 previous runnings
2/3 – Aged 5 years-old
1/3 – Winning favourites
Tom George has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
David Pipe has a 33% record with his chasers at the track
Colin Tizzard has a 33% record (£41) with his chasers at the course
Daryl Jacob has a 36% strike-rate with when riding over fences here
Tom O’Brien has a 33% record riding over fences at the track
LEOPARDSTOWN (ATR)
3.20 – Hennessy Gold Cup (Grade 1) (5yo+)
10/10 – Favourites placed
10/10 – Won over at least 3m previously (any code)
10/10 – Raced at Leopardstown (fences) previously
10/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
8/10 – Raced in the Lexus Chase (Leopardstown) last time
8/10 – Won a Grade 1 Chase previously
8/10 – Winners from the top 3 in the market
7/10 – Winning distance – 3 lengths or more
7/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/10 – Winners that later run in that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
7/10 – Won by a horse aged 9 or younger
7/10 – Won between 3-5 times over fences (rules) previously
6/10 – Won over fences at Leopardstown previously
6/10 – Officially-rated 160 or higher
6/10 – Favourites to win
5/10 – Went onto run in that season’s Gold Cup (no winners)
4/10 – Won by the Willie Mullins yard
4/10 – Won their most recent race
2/10 – UK-based trainer winners
The average winning SP in the last 10 renewals is 5/2
CLICK ON THE RACE TITLES TO COMPARE ALL THE LATEST BOOKMAKER ODDS
Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays
Leave a Reply
Want to join the discussion?Feel free to contribute!