Stat of the Day, 10th February 2013

Stat of the Day: 10/02/13

Stat of the Day, 10th February 2013

With just two fences to jump, Anay Turge looked to have every chance yesterday, but soon faded very quickly and that unfortunately means another zero in the column for SotD.

Today we’re returning to the Nottinghamshire Fibresand for their last race on the card. This is a Class 5 Handicap over seven furlongs for the seven runners in the…

4.50 Southwell

It’s a course specialist for SotD today, or more precisely a course & distance specialist.

Flying Pickets has had a reasonable  career to date, this 4yr old has already won five A/W races from twenty-four attempts: a decent enough 20.8% strike rate producing a very healthy 16.33pts profit (68% POI), but all five of those wins have come from fifteen runs here at Southwell, giving a course strike rate of 33.33%.

A horse with a 1 in 3 strike rate at any course is more than good enough for consideration for SotD, but on digging sown further, I was very impressed to see that all five wins have been at today’s 7f trip where his overall C&D record reads 21112141: a 62.5% win record for 25.33pts profit (+317%)

Flying Pickets really does save his best form for this trip at Southwell and is running well again at present. He finished second last Wednesday over a mile, going down by just a length by a horse that outstayed him, so the drop back to his favoured trip will definitely be of benefit.

And despite this looking like one of the shortest ever SotD blogs, there’s not really much more for me to add. He loves the track, he loves the distance and he’s in good nick. All I need him to do now, is win! 😀

This race is, however, admittedly tougher than his previous victories and this is reflected in the prices available. 6.60 was available with betfair early this morning, but the best BOG price available was 5/1, so the “official” SotD line is 1pt on Flying Pickets at 5/1 BOG, but I always advise you to…

Click here for the latest betting on the 4.50 Southwell

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