Monday Placepot: Catterick 11th Feb 2012
Placepot Picks
It’s off to Catterick for the placepot today, and with a four runner and a seven runner race, things might get interesting. Let’s hope so. It kicks off at 14.05…
A novice hurdle which is ostensibly a four horse race, despite ten going to post. Nice and simple, we’ll side with Abbey Storm, who should stay this far, and looks a nice prospect.
A – 2
Trappy. Just how I like it. Trend Is My Friend gets to handicaps pretty quickly, and makes A. Amok won on good to soft and also makes A. Alba King doesn’t have any evidence of enjoying soft ground and is overlooked. A couple of rags on B, starting with Zazamix, for whom conditions are optimal if he can put a bad run and a tumble over fences behind him on this reversion to hurdles. Molaise Lad ought to be staying on at the end here and might pass enough to make the frame for B tickets.
A – 2, 4
B – 5, 6
Four novice chasers in a handicap a reliable punting proposition does not make. It is sensible to cover all four, but in the interests of expediency I will cover only three and may save on the other one if something good happens in the 2.40 race.
I’m going to take a big chance and swerve Dannancey’s Hill, who looks a very one paced fellow. This does seems a bit easier than his most recent race, but still he seems to find one too good at the end. When you’re win only, that’s no good.
A – 1, 2
B – 4
Competitive stuff, and plenty with some sort of chance. Optimally suited are Fairy Nuff and Amir Pasha and they will represent the primary hopes. Supporting them on B is the trio of Mount Hope, Knight Valliant, and Silas Mariner.
Both Glencree and Charlie Crab could outrun their odds but are not sensible placepot plays.
A – 4, 13
B – 2, 3, 9
A cracking race. Lease Lend looks to have everything in his favour and is super-consistent. I’m going to bank on him here. If the placepot is shaping up nicely enough, I may look to lay him for a place on Betfair to cover my stakes.
A – 1
An unbeaten favourite and a very well supported unraced second favourite… that’s A sorted with Legacy Gold and Delta Forty respectively. In a race where a lot is taken on trust, it’s worth adding some ballast on B in the hope of a surprise result. As such, Dancing Lamb and Falcon’s Present join the placepot party.
A – 1, 2
B – 3, 8
Basic Version, A’s only
1 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 1 x 2 = 16 bets
Basic Version, A’s and B’s
1 x 4 x 3 x 5 x 1 x 4 = 240 bets
Advanced Version, using ticket builder
This is using 20p base stakes (x4 for all As, and x2 for 5A1B combo’s), but could be done for as little as 5p stakes in the betting shops.
Monday Placepot from Catterick
Good luck!
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