More trainer clues and stats as Andy Newton’s got six more hot yard to look out for this week…….
WILLIE MULLINS (15 winners from his last 29 runners, 52% strike-rate): Yes, Thousand Stars was disappointing at Navan on Tuesday, but the Mullins team still fired in three winners on the card, including On His Own, who has now been catapulted to the head of the Grand National betting. The top Irish trainer got a headline mention last week and before Navan on Tuesday that was justified with 4 winners from just 7 runners. With Cheltenham on the horizon then, once again, their horses seem to be peaking at the right time, but to be honest it feels like their horses have been in cracking form all season. They’ve now banged in a staggering 151 winners this term, and that’s already 13 more than last season and is now their best ever too. Add in that they’ve banked over £2m in total prize money and that’s before we’ve even had the Cheltenham, Punchestown or Aintree festivals! In terms of their UK figures they’ve had 15 winners at Cheltenham (all meetings) over the last 5 seasons, but it might surprise some that they’ve not had an Aintree winner in that same period.
Track Stats and Up-coming Entries: Punchestown (107 from 426, 25%), Clonmel (33 from 99, 33%), Dundalk AW (4 from 36, 11%), Fairyhouse (69 from 249, 28%)
STUART WILLIAMS (6 winners from his last 12 runners, 50% strike-rate): Got a strong mention last week and with three more winners and two seconds they certainly didn’t let us down. Five of their last 6 winners have come at Lingfield, and with a 21% strike-rate then all their entries at the Surry track should be noted. However, of the four AW courses it’s at Wolverhampton they do best with a 25% overall record. Like the Simcock yard they are another that use Jamie Spencer and Andrea Atzeni a lot, but also look for Sean Levey, who’s been on one of their recent winners too. With 12 winners already in 2013 then it looks odds-on they will smash the 29 they managed in the whole of 2012, so I’m sure they will now have their sights set on the 42 (their best yet) that they notched in 2009. Finally, once the turf season kicks-in then any Brighton runners should be kept on side with a 24% winning record at the seaside track.
Track Stats and Up-coming Entries: Wolverhampton (29 from 118, 25%), Lingfield (33 from 158, 21%)
DAVID SIMCOCK (5 winners from his last 11 runners, 45% strike-rate): With 12 winners from just 37 sent to post in 2013 and a nice +£17 level stakes profit then the Simcock team are ticking along very nicely indeed. Trade Storm (9/1) also gave them their second Meydan success in the last few weeks after Ottoman Empire went in earlier this month – both horses are entered for the Lingfield Winter Derby on the 16th March. Those punters following their horses blindly would have also been handsomely rewarded when Gambolling Den (16/1) got up on the line at Lingfield last Saturday, while with Andrea Atzeni, Jim Crowley and the globe-trotting Jamie Spencer getting the majority of their rides they’ve got a strong team of jockeys behind them too. 2012 was their best season in terms of winners with 68, so they are firmly on target to challenge that, but the year before in 2011, when they had the likes of Dream Ahead landing big pots, was their best season when it comes to prize money won (£803k). In a few months we’ll start to see some 2 year-old on the track and with 20 juvenile winners (22% strike-rate, +£17) last year then it’s worth keeping these on your side, but until then when it comes to the AW tracks pay special attention to any Southwell runners – they currently boast an impressive 27% strike-rate on the fibresand there.
Track Stats and Up-coming Entries: Lingfield (30 from 170, 18%), Kempton (24 from 216, 11%)
BILL TURNER (3 winners from his last 7 runners, 43% strike-rate): Okay, so their Hillbilly Boy has won two of those three recent winners, and those wins came in a couple of poor races at Lingfield and Wolverhampton, but it still underlines their horses are in fair form. They’ve also only had 19 runners in 2013 so far, but 5 have won (26%). Not the biggest yard but you can expect this Somerset-based outfit to have around 150-200 runners through the season, while last year’s tally of 29 has been their best yet. They have the bulk of their runners on the AW at Lingfield and Wolverhampton, but with 4 juvenile winners from just 10 runners at Thirsk then that’s worth remembering if you can for the coming months. In fact, it’s also worth pointing out that a massive 16 of their 29 winners last term came with their youngsters. Finally, they do also have the odd runner over the sticks – but so far this season are just 3-from-36 with their NH runners.
Track Stats and Up-coming Entries: Southwell (3 from 47, 6%), Lingfield (12 from 122, 10%), Ludlow (2 from 36, 6%), Huntingdon (0 from 1)
COLIN TIZZARD (5 winners from his last 13 runners, 38% strike-rate): The stable’s Dark Desire was a gutsy NH Flat race winner down at Taunton on Tuesday to keep their good run going, while it goes without saying that Cue Card landing Saturday’s Ascot Chase was a big boost for the yard – he’s now into around 7/2 for the Ryanair and 8/1 for the Champion Chase. This recent purple patch now puts them on 32 winners for the season and they need just 14 more to equal last terms tally of 46, but more importantly for them they are motoring along in the prize money won stakes with £407k, and need just 30k to make this their best-ever season in terms of cash banked. Looking ahead their decent Ohio Gold is entered at Sandown on Friday, while the improving Theatrical Star is engaged at this stage at Chepstow on Saturday.
Track Stats and Up-coming Entries: Sandown (1 from 22, 5%), Warwick (7 from 32, 22%), Kempton (3 from 42, 7%), Fontwell (11 from 66, 17%)
DAVID PIPE (5 winners from their last 18 runners, 28% strike-rate): Yes, a bit borderline, but they’ve also had plenty of placed horses in the last week or so and with the Cheltenham Festival now less than 3 weeks away the Pond House team must be delighted with the form of their horses. Dynaste will be their main festival hope, and is likely to go for the RSA Chase, while we’ll have to wait and see what happens with Grands Crus, who at this stage could miss Cheltenham all together as the Pipes has openly said they are taking it one day at a time with their popular grey. They’ve banged in 81 winners for the season so far and will surely break the 100 barrier for a fifth time in the coming months, while with £730k already banked then a good Cheltenham and Aintree and they could easily break the £1 million mark again – something they’ve just missed out on in the last two campaigns, but did manage in every season from 2006 to 2010. On the horizon it’s no surprise they’ve got bundles entered around the country, but look out in particular for any they send to Newcastle on Saturday – they’ve got a 31% strike-rate at the Gosforth Park track.
Track Stats and Up-coming Entries: Doncaster (4 from 28, 14%), Ludlow (5 from 47, 11%), Huntingdon (4 from 33, 12%), Ayr (4 from 21, 19%), Sandown (10 from 71, 14%), Warwick (12 from 49, 24%), Chepstow (19 from 92, 21%), Newcastle (4 from 13, 31%), Kempton (8 from 59, 14%), Towcester (16 from 62, 26%), Fontwell (16 from 93, 17%)
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