Sat TV Trends: 2nd March 2013

A Decent Card A Newbury…….

Some decent action this week as the C4 cameras head to Newbury and Doncaster – Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered from a trends angle….

NEWBURY (C4/RUK)

2.05 – Betfair Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle 3M1F

Only One previous running
Nicky Henderson has a 21% strike-rate with their hurdlers at the track
Paul Nicholls has a 21% strike-rate with their hurdlers at the track
Colin Tizzard has a 22% record with their hurdlers at the course
Rebecca Curtis has a 20% record with her hurdlers at Newbury

2.40 – Barbury International Supporting Greatwood Veterans´ Handicap Chase 3m2f

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
3/4 – Aged 10 years-old
2/4 – Ridden by AP McCoy
1/4 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 4 runnings is 5/1
Paul Nicholls has a 22% record with his chasers at the track
Henry Daly is 0 from 21 with his chasers at the course

3.15 – Ladbrokes Supporting Greatwood Handicap Hurdle 2m

10/10 – Priced 9/1 or shorter in the betting
10/10 – Had won over this trip (hurdles) before
9/10 – Aged 6 or younger
8/10 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/10 – Won between 1-3 times over hurdles before
7/10 – Winning distance – 2 ½ lengths or more
7/10 – Carried 10-11 or more
6/10 – Rated 120 or less
6/10 – Unplaced favourites
5/10 – Came from the top three in the betting
4/10 – Irish bred
4/10 – Had raced at Newbury before
3/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Winners that went onto finish in the first two in the County Hurdle
2/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/10 – Trained by Gary Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 6/1

3.50 – StanJames Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup (Handicap Chase) 2M4F

10/10 – Carried 11-5 or less
9/10 – Aged 8 or younger
9/10 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/10 – Won between 1-4 times over fences before
8/10 – Finished in the top 5 last time out
8/10 – Had raced at Newbury (hurdles or fences) before
8/10 – Had won over this trip before
8/10 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
7/10 – Rated 139 or higher
7/10 – Placed favourites
5/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
5/10 – French bred
5/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/10 – Aged 8 years-old
4/10 – Irish bred
3/10 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/10 – Winners that went onto run at the Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
2/10 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/10 – Ridden by Nick Scholfield
1/10 – Won last time out
Big Fella Thanks won this in 2010
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9/1
Note: The 2006 renewal was a dead-heat

DONCASTER (C4/RUK)

2.20 – TRM Handicap Chase 2m

5 Previous runnings
5/5 – Priced 9/1 or shorter
5/5 – Rated between 120-133
5/5 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
5/5 – Won over this trip over fences before
4/5 – Came from top 3 in the betting
4/5 – Had won exactly 2 times over fences (UK) before
3/5 – Aged 7 or younger
3/5 – Came from the top three in the betting
3/5 – Carried 10-9 or less
2/5 – Raced at Musselburgh last time out
2/5 – Had run at Doncaster before (1 won)
0/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5.3/1

2.55 – William Hill Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap Chase) 3M2F

9/9 – Aged 8 or older
8/9 – Had won no more than 4 times over fences
8/9 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
8/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/9 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
8/9 – Had won over at least 3m (fences) before
7/9 – Aged 9 or older
7/9 – Rated 131 or shorter
7/9 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
7/9 – Carried 10-11 or less
5/9 – Won last time out
5/9 – Had run over fences at Doncaster before (2 winners)
3/9 – Irish bred
2/9 – Went onto run in that season’s Grand National (no winners)
1/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

3.30 – William Hill – Download The App Handicap Hurdle 3m

9/8 – Priced 8/1 or shorter
7/8 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/8 – Carried 10-11 or more
6/8 – Rated between 120-130
6/8 – Had won over at least 2m7f before
6/8 – Won at least twice (hurdles) before
6/8 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
5/8 – Placed favourites
4/8 – Aged 9 or older
3/8 – Winning favourites (1 co fav)
3/8 – Had raced at Doncaster (hurdles) before
3/8 – Ridden by Dominic Elsworth
2/8 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/8 – Ridden by James Reveley
2/8 – Raced at Haydock last time out
0/8 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 9/2

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