Stat of the Day, 6th March 2013
No joy yesterday as Josh’s Dreamaway failed to place. She was making some headway towards the end of the race, but it was already too late in my opinion, I think she needed to have been kept a little closer to make a charge. She eventually finished in 6th, which was no disgrace, but it was 3 lengths adrift of a payout for us.
We’re off chasing in North Yorkshire today where we’ve a family affair in a 3m 1.5f, Class 4 Novices Handicap Chase on good ground (at last!). And we’ve eight runners lined up for the…
Trainer Keith Reveley’s record in chase events here at Catterick has been excellent over the last few years. In fact, since the start of 2010, he has managed to saddle up ten winners from thirty for a very impressive 78pts profit, a return of 260% on stakes invested.
Meanwhile, Keith’s son, James has also been rattling up the winners over the Catterick chase course. James has ridden ten winners from thirty-six attempts over the same period. This strike rate of 27.8% has resulted in profits of 71pts at SP (+197.2%).
It goes without saying that many of the rides above are common to both trainer and rider, but their combined stats here are far better than they are generally. Since January 2010, they have a combined strike rate of 18.6%, which is very respectable, but in Catterick chases it becomes 39.1% (9/23). Their combined profits from all races in this period are 56pts, which gives a POI of 12%, whilst in today’s type of race, they’ve made 80.4pts = 349.6% of stakes.
Today is the last NH meeting of the season at Catterick and the father/son combo will look to go out on a high with their only joint effort (and James’ sole ride) of the day: D’Gigi
D’Gigi is a 7 yr old chestnut mare who probably isn’t as straightforward as the Reveley clan would like, but has shown plenty of promise previously. She was placed here in a hurdle race last season, whilst in a run of decent form (finishes of 1st, 2nd and 3rd on the spin in increasingly more difficult races), before a fall at Aintree last May seemed to halt her progress.
It was expected that she would come on more for a switch to fences and she wasn’t far short of her winning hurdles form on just her second attempt at chasing when fifth at Doncaster over 3 miles on soft ground in November. She has had a couple of jumping issues, but I’d have expected the stable to have worked on that during her near-3 month break from the track and I’d also expect to see a better performance on this firmer surface.
This is a race that the Reveleys seem to target, having won it in both 2010 and 2011. And whilst Keith didn’t have an entry last year, James went on to ride the runner-up Brokethegate who finished 1.5 lengths behind Salut Honore.
I’d expect the team to have D’Gigi as ready as she can be for this one and if the jumping remains sound, she has every chance. Thus, today’s play is a 1pt win bet on D’Gigi at 7/2 BOG. This price is available pretty much everywhere, so for your favoured bookie simply…