Stat of the Day, 11th March 2013
A change of author over the weekend didn’t, unfortunately, bring a change in fortune for SotD on the winners front. We did, however, secure another runner-up position yesterday as the line came just too soon for Matt’s selection Crowning Jewel.
The horse seemed to be making up ground with every stride, eventually going down by just under a length and as Matt now prepares loads of interesting stuff for our Cheltenham coverage I’m back in the chair.
We’re heading to the South West today for a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle. The trip is a testing 3 miles and a half furlong on soft ground for the eight runners set to contest the…
Miss Venetia Williams’ horses are going well again at present with over half of her thirty-five runners making the frame in the last fortnight. Eight of those 35 have been returned as winners giving her a healthy 23% strike in those 14 days.
She is certainly one of the UK’s top trainers in general, but even more so at places like Taunton. When it comes to handicap hurdle events, she has the best recent record of all the trainers on display today. Since the turn of 2011, eight (44.44%) of her eighteen runners in Taunton handicap hurdles have been returned to the winners’ enclosure, providing her followers with excellent profits of 35.1pts (+195%) at SP.
In that same time frame, the course top jockey is Aidan Coleman with a record of seven winners from fifteen (46.67%) and level stakes profits of 28.1pts (+187%).
It obviously goes without saying that some of those results have been achieved when Aidan has ridden for Miss Williams and their record together is 7/12 (58.33%) for 31.1pts (+259%) profit: certainly a combination to keep an eye out for.
Miss Williams has just one hurdler at Taunton today and Mr Coleman rides just one hurdler today. Needless to say, it’s the same horse, Rocky Bender.
Rocky Bender showed an improvement upon his novice form when finishing third to Qalinas (beaten by 1.75 lengths) on handicap debut at Lingfield (2m7f, heavy) last month and seemed to want a bit further that day. He reopposes Qalinas again today on better terms than last time and that should be enough to put that challenge aside.
The going shouldn’t be a concern, since that third place came on heavy ground and he also already has an Irish point-to-point win under his belt over 3 miles on yielding ground. Rocky Bender seems to have plenty of scope for further potential and based on the records of the trainer and jockey here allied to the yard’s recent form, I’m happy to place a 1pt win bet on Rocky Bender at 4/1 BOG with BetVictor (BoyleSports & Coral are also at 4’s), but as always feel free to…