Daily Dabble, 18th March 2013
Welcome to the first in a new daily feature, called the Daily Dabble. As the name implies, it’s a daily bet where we’ll nominate two horses to be played in an each way double. Hence the word ‘dabble’ rather than ‘double’.
With me so far? Great. Obviously, picking one winner at an each way price is hard enough, so the aim of this game will be to find two horses which have a strong chance of making the frame, and a fair chance of winning. This means we’ll hit the board more often than the bullseye, but hopefully we’ll find a few tasty winners along the way, and nick a couple of quid on the place parts regularly.
Anyway, if that all makes sense, sort of, let’s crack on with the first ever Daily Dabble, and it’s going to kick off with a horse close to my own heart…
I own a share in the first leg of today’s inaugural Daily Dabble, Vastly. This fellow is impeccably bred, being a full brother to Listed winner, Putney Bridge, and a half-brother to Dubai World Cup entry, Await The Dawn.
Vastly has had his share of problems, and indeed was sold out of Sir Henry Cecil’s yard at the end of his third year. To have been retained there that long hints at some latent ability and Vastly is well-named: he’s a big horse and has had growing pains.
But he did finally make it to the track three weeks ago, after changing hands for just 8,000 guineas, and he ran a very promising third that day. Beaten just a length there, he’ll have come on for the run and today’s quarter mile longer trip should be spot on.
I’m hopeful of a big run. Gulp.
A fairly competitive two mile handicap, but with a lop-sided book which revolves around sprint-bred Broughtons Bandit. That one looks like going off around 3/1 or perhaps even shorter, but he doesn’t win very often. In fact, he’s only won once in thirteen career runs, and has been second five times!
Finding the right one to take him on with is tricky, but I’m siding with the mare, Hi Note. She’s not run since early November, but was in fine form at that time. Indeed, she’d earned a hurdle rating of 136 and ran second to the high class Dodging Bullets.
On the level, she won her last two races, both over this trip (on turf). Her Kempton all weather form is sound too, having won and then been third on her last two starts here. Those were over a mile and just shy of a mile and a half, and this two mile route will suit a good bit better.
Fitness has to be taken on trust, but she’s plenty of ability, and should be able to reach the podium for us, at least.
Fingers crossed for a successful first foray with our each way Daily Dabble. (And do please leave a comment to let me know if this is something you’re interested in. Also please leave any suggestions for other things you might like to see. It all gets read and we do what we can!)
Back Vastly and Hi Note in an each way double with BetVictor, with the win part paying 34.75/1.