Daily Dabble, 20th March 2013
Yesterday was a bit disappointing, with our first leg failing to get an uncontested lead, and consequently burning too much gas too soon. Storm Alert ran a cracker in the second leg, beaten a length in second at 9/2. Alas, that was too little too late.
In truth, we’re going to have plenty of days like that, and it’s my general intention to try to get us a live runner in the second leg at the very least. Some days that’s easier than others, with both the timing and the shape of races.
Today is not one of those days, with just a small handful of races containing eight-plus runners.
So it’s an early Warwick dabble, starting off in the…
This looks a four horse race, despite there being ten declared. Of course, they don’t always pan out that way and, even when they do, one of them has to finish fourth! I’m siding with Boss In Boots here. Seamus Mullins’ 5yo son of ‘now’ sire, King’s Theatre, has run up against some good’uns in Puffin Billy, Saphir du Rheu and Far West.
Granted, he’s been beaten far enough by them, but that’s more illustrious company than his rivals have kept so far.
His run last time was his best, and he looks capable of at least repeating that level of form, which would get him in the three here. The favourite, Awbeg Massini, has had a fair few chances and struggled to get his nose in front; and the second choice, Lone Ranger is much more interesting.
That one actually ran in a Group 1 in France on his last start, and was a Listed winner on the level there too. He changed hands for just 32,000 guineas, which is chicken feed for one so young and talented, and he’s run a couple of nice introductory races to date. He should be thereabouts, but he’s half the price of our fellow and does have to improve again on what he’s done so far.
If we’re still alive, and I certainly hope we are, then we’ll be cheering on High Ville from the David Pipe stable. Again, this looks a four horse race and, again, something has to be fourth.
The favourite, Don’t Do Mondays, has to prove the ground is OK for him, as his three runs to date have been on good. Moreover, his sire’s progeny tend to be much better on quicker surfaces. I’m pretty sure that trainer, David Bridgwater, is looking forward to a summer handicap campaign with him.
Next in is another Venetia Williams beast (like Lone Ranger), in the shape of Red Courtier. He’s having his first hurdles spin and, as a stayer on the flat, might well want a bit further than this flat two miles. His hurdling also has to be taken on trust, and with little market support, I’m happy to overlook.
That brings us to our chap, High Ville. He’s had three starts in bumpers, all culminating in silver medals; and then he ran promisingly over a trip which perhaps stretched him on hurdles debut, before being outclassed in a Listed contest behind Melodic Rendezvous and Puffin Billy.
This is much more his cup of tea, and I’m hopeful he can go very close.
There has been money for the fourth market choice and, ostensibly at least, the only other conceivable danger, It’s A New Day. But I’d have thought he’d be wanting further soon enough, being a son of stout stayer, Kayf Tara.
The double pays 31.5/1 with Boylesports, who are also best odds guaranteed. The place only part would pay 2.78/1.
Back Boss In Boots and High Ville in an each way double with Boylesports, with the win part paying 31.5/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed).
(And if you open a new account with Boylesports, they’ll match your first bet with a free wager, up to £20. Very nice too.