Stat of the Day, 22nd March 2013
Mixed emotions yesterday, as Thomas Wild secured a place at 6/1 (we were on at 15/2, of course), beating both the market leaders in due course. This delight was slightly tempered by the fact that the 16/1 outsider of the six runners had romped home in front. nevertheless, it’s another 0.44pts in the kitty and on to today.
Which is a trip to the West Midlands for a 9.5f Class 5 handicap, as six runners contest the…
Gerard Butler has an excellent record at Wolverhampton in recent times, and has been represented 41 times here to good effect in the 18 months or so. However, he has just the one runner today, Welsh Sunrise, who features in tonight’s fourth race..
Thirteen (31.7%) of Gerard’s forty-one runners have won here in that timeframe for profits of 38.75% = 94.5% ROI. The profit figures from handicap races alone are also very impressive at 23pts from 27 races (85.2%)
Welsh Sunrise makes only her second appearance tonight, having won quite cosily on debut over course and distance six weeks ago and she’ll be looking to build on that performance today.
The very able Luke Morris is on board again tonight and his experience should help our unexposed filly along.
I was expecting a bet of around the 3/1 mark today, and a bit of money seems to have started coming in already for this one. However, as things stand, we can still get 11/2 about Welsh Sunrise (from an earlier 6/1).
Considering I was expecting to bet 1pt at 3/1, the call is a safety first 0.5pts E/W bet on Welsh Sunrise at 11/2 BOG, as a win will still give us 3.44pts profit, but a place will still give us a small 19% return. I’ve placed my bet with Stan James, who will also give you a free tenner to bet if you open an account and bet a tenner.
Of course, prices can change, so make sure you…