Daily Stat Pack: 22nd March 2013

The weekend is almost (thankfully!) upon us and here are four meetings for your consideration today. If you need a little help or a nudge in the right direction, there here are Mal Boyle’s thoughts on the racing set for Doncaster, Newbury, Sedgefield & Wolverhampton on…

…FRIDAY 22/03:

Doncaster:

For the record, Richard Fahey saddled the most winners (nine) on Town Moor last year, though it is the raiders from Michael Bell’s yard that should demand the most attention this season.  Michael saddled three of his seven juvenile representatives to winning effect (4/1-7/2*-11/4**), whilst recording total returns of 7/19 during the course of the year.

‘Brocklesby’ event scheduled for 2.00: Just one (co) favourite has won this famous two-year-old event during the last eleven years, though bookmakers have not had things going all their own way as nine of the eleven winners were returned at odds ranging between 5/2 and 9/1.  Bill Turner has saddled three of the last seven winners and Bill has had more than his normal share on winners during the winter.  Bill’s only option for the ‘Brocklesby’ at the penultimate stage this season was Mick’s Yer Man.

Mile and a quarter handicap scheduled for 2.30:  This event looks destined for a leading stable victory, with three top trainers having entered over half the number of runners at the penultimate stage.  Mark Johnston held three options with two each for Richard Hannon and Richard Fahey.

‘Doncaster Shield’ scheduled for 3.00: Charlie Hills has carried on where his dad left off in raiding Doncaster to good effect.  Model Pupil is Charlie’s entry in this event and it’s worth noting that the trainer has only saddled more turf winners at Newmarket than he has at Doncaster during his brief career, despite Town Moor being the thick end of two hundred miles from home.  For the record, Model Pupil scored at the first time of asking last season which makes for positive reading.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newbury: 28

Favourite stats: 12 (42.8%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

 

Trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:

5–P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)

3–Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)

2–Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)

2–Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)

2–Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)

1–Andrew Balding (8/1)

1–R. Barber (4/7*)

1–Mick Channon (8/1)

1–Rebecca Curtis (14/1)

1–Henry Daly (7/1)

1–Anthony Honeyball (6/4*)

1–Alan King (7/4*)

1–Gary Moore (5/1)

1–Neil Mulholland (8/1)

1–Fergal O’Brien (4/1)

1–Jonjo O’Neill (10/1)

1–David Pipe (7/4*)

1–Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1)

1–H. Whittington (50/1)

24/28 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3–David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4)

2–Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)

2–Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)

2–Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)

2–Paul Nicholls (6/1** & 5/2)

2–Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

1–Tom George (6/1**)

1–Colin Tizzard (10/3)

1–Robert Walford (9/2)

1–Venetia Williams (11/4)

Two mile five furlong maiden hurdle scheduled for 2.10: Six-year-olds have won seven of the last eleven contests with vintage representatives coming to this year’s gig on a five-timer.

Class 2 handicap hurdle event scheduled for 4.25: Seven-year-olds have secured five of the last nine renewals whilst Philip Hobbs (Softsong and Irish Buccaneer were his only potential runners earlier in the week) has saddled three of the last seven gold medallists.  The last six winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-2.

A race for conditional and amateur riders scheduled for 5.30:  The last eleven renewals have been won by horses returned at odds of 5/1 or less (six market leaders obliged during the study period).  Six-year-olds have won five of the last seven contests, whilst ten winners during the last eleven have carried weights of 11-2 or more.

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 21

Favourite stats: 7 (33.3%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/2

 

Trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

2–S. Crawford (7/2* & 9/2)

2–Malcolm Jefferson (7/2 & 5/1)

2–William Kinsey (15/8* & 11/4)

1–P. Atkinson (9/1)

1–Rose Dobbin (16/1)

1–Mick Easterby (2/1)

1–James Ewart (7/4*)

1–Joanne Foster (3/1)

1–Steve Gollings (9/2)

1–Warren Greatrex (9/4*)

1–Ann Hamilton (8/1)

1–Phil Kirby (5/2*)

1–Donald McCain (4/6*)

1–M. Mullineaux (17/2)

1–Barry Murtagh (7/1)

1–Alan Swinbank (10/1)

1–John Wade (2/1*)

1–Tracy Waggott (25/1)

19/21 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3–Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8)

2–Phil Kirby (5/2 & 11/10)

2–Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

1–Brian Ellison (6/4)

1–John Ferguson (11/10)

1–Steve Gollings (5/2)

1–Richard Lee (6/5)

1–Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1–Alan Swinbank (13/8)

1–Tim Walford (11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Welsh Sunrise (scheduled to contest the 7.30 event) is Gerard Butler’s only potential runner at Wolverhampton this week, the trainer boasting a 24% strike rate which has yielded an LSP figure of fifty points during the last five years at Dunstall Park.