Stat of the Day, 23rd March 2013
First things first, I’d like to wish my wife a very happy anniversary!
Our powder was kept dry yesterday (despite the horrendous weather), as Welsh Sunrise was withdrawn shortly before noon..
So, onto today’s affair, which is a trip to Nottinghamshire for a one-mile Class 6 handicap, as just five runners contest the…
It’s a case of Hobson’s Choice today, as Southwell is the only place in the UK & Ireland to host any racing, so let’s crack on and see what we can unearth.
David Nicholls has certainly got his horses at the top of their game at present with eight winners and a place from just seventeen attempts over the last month, recording level stakes profits of just under 24pts in the process.
He also enjoys success when he comes to Southwell with a record in handicaps here of 8 winners from 20 in the last year. This 40% strike rate has yielded 33.5pts (167.5%) profits at level stakes, whilst E/W backers have had a return from 9 out of 17 (52.94%) of their bets for a healthy 41.4pts = 121.8% of stakes invested.
His sole runner here today is Rasselas, who is likely to be the outsider of the five runners, but should give a decent account of himself once more.
This horse won at Wolverhampton last year and was far from disgraced last time out, also at Wolverhampton. He was 5th that time, but the result doesn’t tell the whole story. That race was a furlong longer than today’s trip and he was only headed inside the final 200 yards that day and without his usual visor.
The visor is reapplied today and when allied to a drop down in trip gives him a much better chance of seeing the race out strongly.
He is the outsider of five and the inclusion of a pretty warm favourite means we can get a decent price for our selection today. Therefore, the call is a 0.5pts E/W bet on Rasselas at 6/1 BOG with Stan James, who will give you a free £10 bet when signing up and wagering a tenner of your own money.
Of course, prices can change, so make sure you…