Daily Stat Pack: 23rd March 2013

Good Morning Everyone, hopefully the snow isn’t causing too many problems in your neck of the woods.

It’s my wedding anniversary today and I was planning on “treating” Mrs W to a day at the races at the delightful Bangor-on-Dee, but that plan now lies in tatters.

Nevertheless I did have got some pointers for the meeting from Mal Boyle and here were his thoughts on that meeting along with the details of the action that should have taken place today from Doncaster, Kelso, Newbury and Stratford on…

…SATURDAY 23/03:

Doncaster:

‘Spring Mile’ scheduled for 2.40: Four-year-olds have secured nine renewals during the last eleven during which time, just one favourite has obliged.  Nine winners were returned in double figures ranging is odds between 10/1 and 50/1.

‘Cammidge Trophy’ scheduled for 3.15: The last seven winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more, whilst just one favourite has prevailed via the last ten contests.  One three-year-old were involved at the penultimate entry stage, though no junior winners have been recorded since Falcon Hill prevailed at 11/1 for Mark Johnston back in 2002.  That said, only seven three-year-olds have subsequently contested the event.

‘Lincoln Handicap’ scheduled for 3.15: Two of the last four favourites have prevailed (as have three of the last eight), whilst five market leaders secured toteplacepot positions during the last eleven years.

Effect of the draw via the last nine renewals at Doncaster during the last eleven years:

12-21-9-2 (22 ran-good)

16-19-6-15 (21 ran-good)

1-5-10-14 (21 ran-soft)

9-3-2-20 (20 ran-good to firm)

12-3-16-5 (21 ran-good to soft)

13-21-2-1 (22 ran-good)

23-16-12-24 (24 ran-good)

6-7-1-12 (24 ran-good)

7-6-13-12 (23 ran-good to soft)

The other two renewals were contested at Redcar and Newcastle whereby the effect of the draw is obviously not relevant.

 

Bangor:

BANGOR NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Bangor: 14

Favourite stats: 7 (50.0% of races–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 2/3 (66.7%)

 

Trainers of winners at Bangor in 2013:

2–Nigel Twiston-Davies (15/2 & 11/4**)

1–Rebecca Curtis (2/1*)

1–Miss Sally Duckett (5/4*)

1–Richard Ford (15/2)

1–Harry Fry (1/2*)

1–Warren Greatrex (6/1)

1–Nicky Henderson (5/4)

1–Donald McCain (Evs*)

1–A. Middleton (12/1)

1–Jonjo O’Neill (7/1)

1–David Pipe (15/2)

1–Sue Smith (8/15*)

1–Venetia Williams (7/4*)

13/14 winners were returned at odds of 15/2 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3–Donald McCain (11/10-5/6-2/1)

1–Nicky Henderson (13/8)

1–Barry Leavy (10/3)

1–Richard Lee (2/1)

1–A.E. Price (11/4**)

1–Nigel Twiston-Davies (7/2)

Seventeen furlong novice hurdle event scheduled for 2.10: Five-year-olds have won five contests during the last eleven years, whilst favourites have secured six of the last nine contests during which time, the biggest priced winner was returned at odds of 8/1.

Three mile handicap hurdle event due to be contested at 3.20: We still await the first successful market leader following eight renewals during which time, four eight-year-olds prevailed.  Just one of the last five favourites has secured a toteplacepot position.

Class 4 two and a half mile handicap chase scheduled for 4.30: Nine renewals have slipped by since the last favourite won though that said, bookmakers have not had things going all their won way as the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at 8/1.  Six of the last seven winners have scored at 4/1 or less.  Eight-year-olds carrying weights of 10-11 or more have won three of the last six renewals.

 

Kelso:

Favourite stats: 6 (28.6%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/8 (37.5%)

Trainers of winners at Kelso in 2013:

3–Nicky Richards (7/4-3/1-5/2)

3–Sue Smith (8/11*-16/1-Evs*)

2–Donald McCain (6/1 & 4/1)

2–J. Walton (10/1 & 10/11*)

1–George Bewley (8/1)

1–Stuart Coltherd (9/4)

1–Tristram Davidson (7/2)

1–Brian Ellison (9/4)

1–James Ewart (5/4*)

1–Chris Grant (5/1)

1–Ann Hamilton (11/4**)

1–Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1–John O’Shea (11/4)

1–John Wade (20/1)

1–Tim Walford (8/11*)

19/21 winners to date have scored at odds of 10/1 or less (seventeen at a top price of 6/1).

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3–D. McCain (Evs-1/4-11/8)

2–David Pipe (10/11 & 11/10)

1–Nick Alexander (11/4**)

1–Kim Bailey (4/5)

1–Fred Hutsby (2/1)

1–Phil Kirby (9/2***)

1–Karen McLintock (9/4)

1–B. Murtagh (9/2***)

1–Keith Reveley (2/1)

1–Nicky Richards (4/5)

1–Miss P. Robson (7/4)

1–Oliver Sherwood (1/2)

1–J. Wade (9/2***)

1–J. Walton (2/1)

1–A.C. Whillans (2/1)

Seventeen furlong Class 3 handicap chase event scheduled for 3.30: We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals during which time, just one market leader has finished in the frame.  The five winners have scored at odds ranging between 5/1 and 16/1.

 

Newbury:

NEWBURY NH DETAILS FOR 2013: 

Number of races at Newbury: 28

Favourite stats: 12 (42.8%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 3/4

 

Trainers of winners at Newbury in 2013:

5–P. Nicholls (5/4*-8/11*-4/5*-5/1-18/1)

3–Nicky Henderson (5/4*-5/1*-Evs*)

2–Tony Carroll (8/1 & 13/2)

2–Harry Fry (7/4* & 11/4*)

2–Philip Hobbs (4/1 & 40/1)

1–Andrew Balding (8/1)

1–R. Barber (4/7*)

1–Mick Channon (8/1)

1–Rebecca Curtis (14/1)

1–Henry Daly (7/1)

1–Anthony Honeyball (6/4*)

1–Alan King (7/4*)

1–Gary Moore (5/1)

1–Neil Mulholland (8/1)

1–Fergal O’Brien (4/1)

1–Jonjo O’Neill (10/1)

1–David Pipe (7/4*)

1–Nigel Twiston-Davies (8/1)

1–H. Whittington (50/1)

24/28 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less.

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

3–David Pipe (3/1-4/1-11/4)

2–Nicky Henderson (9/4 & 10/11)

2–Alan King (6/4 & 6/1)

2–Richard Lee (4/1 & 3/1)

2–Paul Nicholls (6/1** & 5/2)

2–Tim Vaughan (3/1 & 10/3)

1–Tom George (6/1**)

1–Colin Tizzard (10/3)

1–Robert Walford (9/2)

1–Venetia Williams (11/4)

Class 4 novice hurdle event scheduled for 1.45: Five of the last nine favourites have obliged during which time, seven winners have been returned at odds of 3/1 or less.  Five-year-olds have secured four of the last eight renewals.

Juvenile handicap hurdle event scheduled for 4.05: Only one favourite has obliged via ten renewals since 2003.

 

Stratford:

Warren Greatrex and Michael Appleby are two trainers who generally sit marginally below the radar at several venues with Stratford being no exception, both handlers boasting 25% records at the venue.