Trainer Stats: 26th Mar 2013

Andy Newton’s got a trainer operating at a 75% strike-rate to look out for this week, plus five other ‘red-hot’ yards…….

JENNIE CANDLISH (3 winners from her last 4 runners, 75% strike-rate): Okay, so two of those recent winners have been with the same horse – Bob’s World – but the way he won last time suggest he could land the hat-trick if out again soon (no entries this week). They are now on 10 winners, and might be hard-pressed to get near the 18 they managed last season, but I’m sure they will not be too far away. Sean Quinlan rides most of theirs, but they did use Conor Ring, who claims 7lbs, last time on Party Rock. They do also have the odd flat runner, but have only had 9 flat successes since 2010 from 79 sent to post. Look out for anything they run at Chepstow or Leicester over the sticks – they’ve got 25% strike-rates at both tracks.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Southwell AW (0 from 4), Wetherby (2 from 25, 8%), Ludlow (1 from 29, 3%)

JIM BOLGER (4 winners from his last 6 runners, 67% strike-rate): The flat turf seasons, both in the UK and Ireland, have rather limped onto our scene, but after his four-timer at the Curragh on Sunday it’s clear the Jim Bolger horses well forward at this early stage of the year. Stable number one jockey, Kevin Manning was on three of those winners with Rory Cleary on the other. That will also be good news for supporters of their stable-star and current 2000 Guineas favourite, Dawn Approach, who despite being bought by Godolphin last season remains at Bolger’s yard – he’s currently around 2/1 for the opening English Classic on the 4th of May. It might surprise some to know that Bolger only manged 40 winners in Ireland last season and although back in the 90’s they used to fire in 100+ winners to be honest 40-50 is generally what they get these days. They still banked over £1million last term and give or take a few thousand that’s something they’ve managed for the past 9 seasons. As the flat campaign move on into the spring and summer months they do okay at most of the tracks, but strangely not so at Fairyhouse (2 from 57) and Killarney (1 from 43).
Track stats and up-coming entries: Leopardstown (44 from 299, 15%), Clonmel (0 from 1)

RON HARRIS (4 winners from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): Two Lingfield doubles in two days has catapulted the Ron Harris yard into this week’s hot-list and with the AW action possibly all we’ll have for the coming week then it could pay to have them on your side. Jockey Luke Morris has been on all four of those winners and that now puts him on 43 winners for the season – he’s got 159 (his best yet) to beat. The Harris numbers are now 18 winners from 124 sent to post, and are well on their way to bettering last year’s tally of 63. Looking at the age split of their winners they do by far the best with their older horses – in the last 5 seasons 157 of their 217 winners came with their 4+ year-olds. With that in mind, if there is a word of caution it would be with their 2 year-olds – last season they had just 9 juvenile winners and 4 the year before.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Lingfield (38 from 355, 11%), Southwell (26 from 223, 12%)

SEAMUS MULLINS (3 winners from his last 8 runners, 38% strike-rate):  With 20 winners the Seamus Mullins team look set for this to be their best-ever campaign – they only need 4 more winners for that to happen. More importantly they are showing a very nice +£43 level stakes profit this term, while 47% of their runners have finished fourth or better. Veteran pilot Andrew Thornton is a big part of the team and has been on all three of their recent runners – that now puts him on 28 for the season himself. Looking ahead they got a few entered to run at Fontwell on Tuesday – the track is hopeful of racing but do need to pass a 7am look.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Fontwell (13 from 140, 9%)

RICHARD HANNON (6 winners from his last 17 runners, 35% strike-rate): Made the ‘hot-list’ last week and with 3 more winners from just 6 sent to post they rewarded us well. One of those was also a tasty 14/1 shot (Endorsing), while Annunciation (6/1) was a nice winner on the turf at Doncaster last Friday too. No luck with their only runner at Lingfield on Monday, but once things settle down a bit more with the weather then we can expect to see an army of Hannon runners out most days – and it looks like the ones they are running are more than fit enough. I said last week that 218, something they’ve managed for the past two seasons, is their best ever finish in terms of winners, and with 10 from just 36 runners in 2013 they are on their way to getting near that again. In the meantime with the AW racing set to dominate for a bit yet then they do by far the best at Wolverhampton (entries on Weds) with a 20% overall strike-rate, but also look out for any older horses running there too as they are 6 from 15 (40%) there with that age group.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Lingfield (65 from 412, 16%), Wolverhampton (27 from 135, 20%), Doncaster (28 from 144, 19%)

 
RICHARD FAHEY (5 winners from his last 17 runners, 29% strike-rate): Another of the big flat yards that hit the ground running at Doncaster last week. They fired in a nice 60/1 double, but also had four others placed and then followed that up with wins at Wolverhampton and Southwell over the weekend. It was also good to see their old stable jockey, Paul Hanagan, reunited with a lot of their Donny runners, including riding one of the two winners. With Hanagan set to ride for his retainer – the Maktoums – more as the year goes on we can expect Tony Hamilton to to get a lot of chances for the yard. With 13 winners from 67 runners they are ticking along nicely. At this early stage its hard to know if they will get near their best-ever total of 181 (2010), but they’ve now broken the 100 mark for the past 5 campaigns and that looks a cert once again. With 45 and 48 juvenile winners in the last few seasons then this is another area they excel in – we should start to see a few of their 2 year-olds out in the coming weeks. Look out for anything they send south to Windsor (36%), Yarmouth (26%) and Musselburgh (21%), while in terms of the AW tracks it’s interesting they’ve only got a 6% strike-rate at Kempton, but do a lot better at Southwell (16%).
Track stats and up-coming entries: Southwell (40 from 253, 16%), Wolverhampton (62 from 503, 12%), Doncaster (35 from 315, 11%)

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