Daily Stat Pack: 5th April 2013

Action from Aintree, Leicester, Sedgefield and Wolverhampton today, so here’s a quick reminder of Mal Boyle’s racing preview for…

…FRIDAY 05/04:

Aintree:

Group 2 Top Novice Hurdle scheduled for 2.00: Only two favourites have on this event via the last thirteen renewals, whilst Nicky Henderson has saddled two of the last three gold medallists.  Five-year-olds have won eight renewals during the last decade though interestingly, Nicky’s two potential runners this year (Forgotten Voice and My Tent Or Yours) are older declarations.

Group 2 Mildmay novice event scheduled for 2.30: Twelve of the last twenty-three renewals (52.2%) have been won by market leaders, with whilst twenty-two of those gold medallists were returned in single figures.  Seven-year-olds have won half of the last twenty-four contests.

Group 1 Melling Chase scheduled for 3.05: The first successful winner of this event was Remittance Man for Nicky Henderson at odds of 4/9 back in 1992.  A further eight market leaders have won, whilst Nicky was saddling his second winner of the race with Finian’s Rainbow twelve months ago.  Ten years separated the two victories to date of Paul Nicholls, Fadalko having scored for the trainer in 2001 before Master Minded scored two years ago.

Topham Chase due to be contested at 3.40: Call it a coincidence if you like, but Peter Bowen was saddling his first winner since November last week, just days before the trainer sends his raiders to Aintree with the trainer boasting a particularly decent each way record at Liverpool down the years.  Stable star Always Waining is among the entries in an attempt to land a four timer in this event which would approach the acclaim of equine Aintree dignitaries such as Red Rum and Big Bucks if he were to prevail again!  Just one (joint) favourite has won the ‘Topham’ via the last fourteen contests.  Only two Irish trained winner have emerged in the last thirty-three years.

Sefton Novice Hurdle scheduled for 4.15: Six renewals have slipped by since a favourite prevailed, the relevant scorers going in at 33/1-25/1-20/1-16/1-9/1-8/1.  Vintage stats via twenty-four renewals: 5YO: 4 wins–6YO: 10–7YO: 7–8YO+: 3.  No horses age eight or more have won during the last fourteen years.

Listed handicap hurdle scheduled for 4.50: Nine of the last ten winners have been returned in double figures during which time, successful favourites have only been conspicuous by their absence.  The previous ten winners have carried a maximum burden of eleven stones before last year’s scorer humped 11-12 to success.

Mares’ Bumper scheduled for 5.25: Only one (5/2) favourite has prevailed via eight renewals thus far.  Eight different trainers have been successful whilst the four-year-olds led the five-year-olds 4-3 going into the race last year when a six-year-old obliged.  Three of the last five winners have scored at 28/1-25/1-20/1.

 

Leicester:

Three-year-old selling event scheduled for 2.55: Six favourites have won during the last decade during which time, eight gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 9/2.

Three-year-old Conditions event due to be contested at 3.30: Favourites have won four of the last six contests, whilst nine winners during the last decade scored at odds of 11/2 or less.  Richard Hannon, Mick Channon and Ron Harris all held two entries at the penultimate stage in what looks like being a small field with just fourteen horses involved at the time of writing.

Mixed vintage handicap over seven furlongs scheduled for 4.05: Seven-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals (three potential representatives this time around), whilst three of the last six market leaders have obliged.  Three of the fifteen runners at the time of writing hailed from Richard Hannon’s yard who occupied places in the top eight horses in the handicap.

 

Sedgefield:

SEDGEFIELD NH DETAILS FOR 2013:

Number of races at Sedgefield: 28

Favourite stats: 11 (39.3%–includes joint and co favourites)

Odds on ratio: 1/3

 

Trainers of winners at Sedgefield in 2013:

3–Steve Gollings (9/2-11/8*-9/4**)

2–S. Crawford (7/2* & 9/2)

2–Joanne Foster (3/1 & 4/1)

2–Malcolm Jefferson (7/2 & 5/1)

2–William Kinsey (15/8* & 11/4)

1–P. Atkinson (9/1)

1–Jennie Candlish (6/4*)

1–Rose Dobbin (16/1)

1–Mick Easterby (2/1)

1–James Ewart (7/4*)

1–Chris Fairhurst (4/1)

1–Warren Greatrex (9/4*)

1–Ann Hamilton (8/1)

1–Phil Kirby (5/2*)

1–Donald McCain (4/6*)

1–M. Mullineaux (17/2)

1–Barry Murtagh (7/1)

1–Diane Sayer (8/1)

1–Brian Storey (2/1*)

1–Alan Swinbank (10/1)

1–John Wade (2/1*)

1–Tracy Waggott (25/1)

26/28 winners were returned at odds of 10/1 or less

 

Trainers of beaten favourites:

4–Phil Kirby (5/2-11/10-11/4-5/4)

3–Donald McCain (5/4-5/2-15/8)

2–Neil Mulholland (7/4 & 8/13)

1–Brian Ellison (6/4)

1–John Ferguson (11/10)

1–Steve Gollings (5/2)

1–Chris Grant (9/4**)

1–Richard Lee (6/5)

1–Ferdy Murphy (5/2)

1–Alan Swinbank (13/8)

1–Tom Vaughan (4/11)

1–Tim Walford (11/4)

 

Wolverhampton:

Daniel Tudhope is a jockey who often slips under the radar and his 22% strike rate at Dunstall Park is well worth noting.

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