Stat of the Day, 6th April 2013
Well, yesterday’s performance by Dolphin Village seemed to sum up my own personal form quite well: ridden hard but made no impression! All joking apart, our mount never looked like making any headway into the race at all. He eventually finished 3.5 lengths outside the places and a further 5 lengths away from the eventual winner.
I’m leaving for Egypt at 9.00am Saturday morning, so I’m posting this selection up earlier than normal (ie 10.30pm on the Friday!) and we’re going back to the all-weather for an evening encounter. It’s a Class 5 fillies’ handicap and the trip is a shade under 6 furlongs for the 8 runners contesting the…
Saturday’s stat is short and sweet and goes something like this:
When Silvestre de Sousa rides for Brian Ellison at Wolverhampton, the results are very good. The partnership has currently scored six winners from nineteen making a healthy profit of some 23.35pts in the process, a profit of 122.9% over stakes invested.
If we look at handicap contests only, the strike rate remains very similar (five winners from sixteen), but the profits rise to 24.25pts and the ROI to 151.6%.
Mr de Sousa is booked in for three rides here, whilst Brian sends two horses to race. However, they only combine for the one race with Al Freej being the selection.
Al Freej is a lightly raced 4 yr old filly making only her seventh start on the all-weather, having already secured two victories and two runner-up positions. She is a confirmed front-runner and is very handily drawn today. If she can hit the front early on, the chasing pack might well find her tough to overhaul.
There doesn’t seem to be any standout horses in the field and whilst our selection is likely to be a little too short to hedge our bets with an E/W punt, I think that she has what’s required to take this one if things go her way.
As of 10.45pm the best price available was 9/2 BOG with Bet365, so I’ve had a 1pt win bet with them on Al Freej, but considering I have written this over 20 hours before the race, it might be wise to…