It’s a fairly quiet week ahead but Andy Newton’s still got 6 red-hot stables to look out for….
MICHAEL DODS (3 winners from his last 5 runners, 60% strike-rate): The Co Durham-based yard have hit the ground running during this early part of the flat turf season with three winners, and with two priced at 12/1 and 25/1 then their supporters will certainly be smiling. They are on 4 winners already from just 12 runners, while mainly due to that 25/1 winner are sitting on a +£40 level stakes profit. If previous seasons are anything to go by then you can expect them to get between 38-49 winners – something they’ve managed every year since 2006. They only had 6 juvenile winners last term and the same in 2011 too, so they will be hoping to better than, but last term 50% of those 2 year-old winners came at Newcastle – something to note. They also do quite well with their runners up at Musselburgh (19% over the last 5 seasons), but with just 5 winners from their last 135 runners at Doncaster (race there on Sat) you might want to steer clear of their Town Moor entries.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Nottingham (2 from 35, 6%), Catterick (10 from 67, 15%), Doncaster (5 from 135, 4%)
HARRY FRY (3 winners from their last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): Had no luck with one of their star names, Opening Batsman, at Aintree last week, but they did have a huge slice of good fortune when Violin Davis took advantage of a few horses falling at Taunton last Thursday. That made it 20 wins for the season from just 62 runners (32%) and with a huge +£62 level stakes profit too then the Dorset-based yard are fast becoming a punters pal. They’ve also had 3 NH Flat runners from just 9 runners and you after the way he’s handled Rock On Ruby this season it won’t be long before they get a few more big owners chucking horses their way – Did you know they are currently 4-from-4 with their runners at Plumpton , 4-from-5 with their Newbury runners and 3-from-6 at Taunton?
Track stats and up-coming entries: Fontwell (0 from 1), Ludlow (1 from 2, 50%), Wincanton (3 from 13, 23%), Chepstow (0 from 2), Stratford (no runners)
PAUL HENDERSON (4 winners from his last 8 runners, 50% strike-rate): Fast making a name for himself and with very decent strike-rate of late anything they run at present should be noted. Jockey Tom O’Brien has built up a good relationship with the yard and has ridden all of their last 8 runners. With 15 winners they’ve already made this their best-ever campaign, beating last year’s 13, and are also showing a +£2 level stakes profit. They used to have a cracking record at Folkestone before it was shut, but do look out for their Newton Abbot (17%), Plumpton (24%) and Ffos Las (29%) runners – all tracks they do well at.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Kempton AW (0 from 1), Fontwell (4 from 52, 8%), Chepstow (0 from 7), Stratford (1 from 22, 5%)
CAROLINE BAILEY (3 winners from her last 6 runners, 50% strike-rate): Need just 5 more winners to equal their best ever tally of 18 winners in a season, but, more importantly, they already banked over £100,000 in total prize money – they’ve had 45 of their 81 (56%) runners finish in the top 4 or better. Veteran jockey Andrew Thornton gets the bulk of their rides, and they’ve got a great record at Haydock, but I that track will be turning their attention to the flat action now. However, do look out for anything they run at Wetherby later this week (Fri) as they currently boast a 32% strike-rate there. They do better with their jumpers than their hurdlers, but be a bit wary of any NH Flat runners as in the last 5 seasons they are 0-from-32 in that sphere.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Wetherby (6 from 19, 32%), Stratford (0 from 6), Uttoxeter (6 from 56, 11%), Ayr (no runners)
CLIVE BRITTAIN (4 winners from his last 10 runners, 40% strike-rate): Not quite the force they were of old, but still know how to fire in a winner or two. 16 of their 27 (59%) runners this year have finished fourth or better, while it’s interesting that their last 3 runners to go off favourite have all won. Ryan Moore has also been on four of their last 6 runners and ridden two of their last 3 winners. Last term they only fired in 16 winners and 19 the year before, so they will be hoping to get back to the 40+ winners they managed in 2009 & 2010, while 63 was their best total back in 1992. As the flat season
Track stats and up-coming entries: Kempton (17 from 158, 11%), Lingfield (17 from 127, 13%), Doncaster (4 from 51, 8%), Newmarket (4 from 116, 3%)
DAVID EVANS (8 winners from his last 27 runners, 30% strike-rate): Wow! Did you know that trainer David Evans has already fired in 50 flat winners in 2013? They only need 32 more to better last season’s tally and we’re not really off the ground with the main flat meetings yet. 114 was their best ever in 2009, so that is certainly in range now too. Of their 50 winners in 2013 a massive 39 have been with their 4+ year-olds, but you can expect to see more of their younger horses out in the coming months – last year they had 33 winners with their 3 year-olds, but it is worth noting just 8 with their 2 year-olds. In Adam Kirby they’ve got a jockey riding at the top of his game and he’s already ridden 57 winners in 2013, while now Cathy Gannon is fit again you can expect to see her getting the leg-up on more too. Of the 4 AW tracks they do by far the best at Southwell (18%), while from a negative view point you might want to think twice about backing their Doncaster (3%), Chepstow (4%) and York (3%) runners with poor strike-rates at those tracks. With 11 NH winners this season too, then don’t just confine your search to the flat when looking out for their runners.
Track stats and up-coming entries: Lingfield (67 from 528, 13%), Ludlow, Wolverhampton (91 from 853, 11%), Kempton (39 from 376, 10%), Stratford (7 from 38, 18%), Ffos Las 93 from 35, 9%), Newmarket (2 from 19, 11%)
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