Stat of the Day, 12th April 2013

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 12th April 2013

Really frustrating yesterday as the normally super-reliable Luke Morris cocked things up quite badly, by going ‘the brave man’s route’ up the inside. He got no run, snatched the horse up, pulled her out four horses wide, and ran on stoutly. In truth, I don’t think she’d have won, but she’d surely have bagged a place with a clear run. Given that I – and I’m sure many of you – backed her each way (and I also had her in an each way trixie with the two Daily Dabble placers), that was disappointing.

Today, we’re keeping our powder dry until the very last race of the day, the…

9.00 Wolverhampton

Another course horse tonight in Pelmanism. Brian Ellison’s 6yo gelding is very consistent. Indeed, in eight career all weather runs, he’s won thrice, been second twice, and third twice. On his only run out of the frame on the all weather, he was beaten just two and a half lengths, and everything points to him being thereabouts again tonight.

When I say ‘everything’, let me outline that in a bit more detail. Firstly, he’s run in tonight’s Class 6 five times, with form figures of 21312. He’s run over tonight’s six furlong trip on the all weather, he’s 136112.

In just two runs here at Wolverhampton, he’s 23 (the ‘3’ being in a higher class and over a furlong further; the ‘2’ being over course, class and distance. Brian Ellison’s horses remain in good form (a winner on each of the last three days), and although Pelmanism has the worst of the draw, he’s normally held up anyway, so should be able to sit in behind what ought to be a scorching pace, most likely set by Point North and Jawking.

He’s a general 5/1 best odds guaranteed, and we’ll take the coward’s route. Each way please.

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