Stat of the Day, 29th April 2013
A sad day for SotD yesterday as Blazing Bull was fatally injured in a fall three from home, when looking like he had every chance of winning. When such things happen, the final result of the race is an irrelevance and my thoughts turn to the horse’s connections.
Today is the start of a new week and we’re off chasing in Northamptonshire, where the going is good for the twelve runners tackling 2 miles and half a furlong in the…
Fergal O’Brien has a good record here at Towcester with a 21% strike rate from all his runners. However, when we consider his more fancied selections ie those running at 5/1 or shorter: five of the last eight have won in a record reading 13511511 with two of those wins coming from three chase events.
Thunder Sheik represents Mr O’Brien today and looks set to build on a promising introductions to fences at Uttoxeter last time out. He jumped well enough there and this race looks easier on paper at least!
He wears blinkers for the first time today, but I don’t see that as a negative, as 38% of the trainer’s horses win when wearing blinkers for the first time (3 wins and a place from 8 races for a profit of 24pts) including his last Towcester runner Doubletoilntrouble who won a chase here just 4 weeks ago at 2/1.
Thunder Sheik ticks all the above boxes today and looks a decent enough price at 7/2 BOG with several firms. I’m using BetVictor today, but you can see what your preferred bookie is offering if you…