Stat of the Day Update: 22/04/13 to 28/04/13
Last week’s selections performed pretty well in the main, despite the bottom line showing a small 10% loss of stakes. We had a nice 13/2 winner on Tuesday and three horses in the frame and when coupled with a faller that looked well set on Sunday, the feeling is that we’re getting closer to hitting a run of form.
However, we are going to adopt a slight change in strategy. Tuesday’s winner at 13/2 yielded a 3.9pt profit on the day, as we’d gone E/W and the general consensus here is that we should really be focusing on the win only bets from now on, in a bid to maximise the profits available to us on horses we fancy. Chill Factor went off at 9/2 and if truth be told, I wouldn’t have advised an E/W bet at that price, so I effectively gave away 0.7pts of profit, a figure equivalent to the week’s losses!
We appreciate that we’ll hit the bar more often with this approach, but the long-term profitability should benefit from the new approach. We will, still of course, be offering you a pair of E/W shots in the Daily Dabble.
Selections & Results: 22/04/13 to 28/04/13
22/04: 6.30 Gladiatrix (advised 6/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 7/1
23/04: 4.45 Ffos Las: Chill Factor (advised at 13/2 E/W BOG) : won at 9/2 (+3.90pts)
24/04: 2.35 Catterick: Bernardino (advised 6/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 7/1
25/04: 3.05 Beverley: Asgardella (advised 4/1 BOG) : 2nd at 2/1
26/04: 1.30 Doncaster: It’s My Time (advised 5/1 E/W BOG) : 2nd at 7/1 (+0.38pts)
27/04: 2.30 Market Rasen: Cool Baranca (advised 10/3 BOG) : 3rd at 11/4
28/04: 3.35 Wetherby: Blazing Bull (advised 5/2 BOG) : fell at 9/4
22/04 to 28/04:
2 winning bets from 7
7 winners from 28 = 25.00% S.R
POI = -19.54%
144 winners from 489 = 29.45% S.R
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +100.28pts from a 490pt outlay = +20.47% POI