Stat of the Day, 7th May 2013
Duke of Destiny ran well enough yesterday at 6/1, but could only manage 4th place. If I’m being critical, I’d say that he was possibly held up a little too long before being switched inside for a challenge late on. He was fairly flying at the death and although I’m not sure if he’d have won with an earlier dash for the line, I think he could have been closer.
However, it’s still a loss either way and so we look to make amends with a trip to Sunny Devon for a Class 3 Handicap Chase. The ground is pretty hard after the dry spell (good to firm, firm in parts) and just 5 runners are set to line up to tackle 2 miles 3.5 furlongs in the…
Colin Tizzard has an excellent recent record in chase contests at Exeter, notching up six winners from twelve in the last year, generating profits of some 20.08pts (+167.33% ROI), whilst son Joe has been on board for ten of those rides, securing all six wins for the yard with three other place finishes.
So, when Joe rides a chaser at Exeter for dad Colin, he has a 60% win strike rate for +22.08pts (+220.8% ROI) and a 90% place strike rate. They team again this evening for two races: Quite by Chance is in with a chance of landing the 8.25 bumper race (currently 7/2 2nd fav), but they’ve just the one chaser here: Sew On Target.
Sew On Target ran a very creditable 4th off today’s mark at Cheltenham last time out on much softer ground than today and a furlong and a half longer. He’ll appreciate the quicker ground and the drop back in trip today (he’s 1/1 over today’s distance) and has won one and placed once from two starts on good to firm ground.
The jockey/trainer record here allied to the fact there’s only 5 runners means we’re not getting rich today, but I think that 9/4 BOG (generally) is a fair price for Sew On Target, so I’m having a 1pt win bet with Paddy Power, but if you’re funds are elsewhere, simply…