Stat of the Day, 30th May 2013
A frustrating turn of events yesterday, as the well-fancied Iffraaj Pink was withdrawn, leaving us with no bet for the day. I’m hoping to at least get a run today in a Class 5, eight runner, 6 furlong handicap on good ground.
Over the last couple of seasons, Eric Alston has proved to be a bit of a dab hand at dropping his horses down in class and getting a win out of them. He has dropped 73 horses down just one class since the start of 2011 and this has resulted in 14 winners (19.18%) and a further 13 have made the frame for a total place strike rate of 37%. The 14 winners have helped his followers make some 36.75pts at betfair SP, a return of 50.34% over stakes invested.
Those figures alone are a great starting point, but if we filter down to the standard sub-6/1 SotD territory, the numbers improve to nine winners from twenty, a 45% strike rate and 25.82pts profit at betfair SP (+129.1%.) Even Industry SP leads to doubling your money with profits of 20.5pts.
Eric runs Spavento in the 3.30 race, a filly with an excellent chance of gaining her 3rd C&D victory at current odds of 3/1, but it’s the following race I’m more interested in, where Chester Aristocrat seeks back to back victories inside five days after landing a decent (and very competitive) Class 4 handicap at Haydock last Saturday. That win aside, this 4 yr old has been running consistently well and comes here at the very top of his game. He has, of course been penalised for hat win at the weekend, but the 6lb rise in he weights is virtually all but negated by Jason Hart’s 5lb claim this afternoon.
I was hoping to get around 3/1 or maybe slightly higher on this one, so I was pleased to see that at 9.30am, this price was available to all of us. Today’s play is a 1pt win bet on Chester Aristocrat at 3/1 BOG with Stan James . This price is also available at Bet365, but may change a little in the market as the day progresses, so please keep an eye on the prices. The easiest way to do this is to simply…
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