Stat of the Day, 2nd June 2013
A wasted journey North yesterday, as Withernsea ran a bit of a stinker, if I’m honest. He wakened considerably at a fairly early point, to the extent that he only beat one other horse home. We’d backed him at 6/1, not many others liked the look of him as he drifted out to 7’s and the layers were proved correct.
We turn back to one racing’s big names today to hopefully find the winner of the…
I’m going to keep it brief this morning, I’m off out very early, so time is at a premium, I’m afraid.
We turn to Nicky Henderson today, because in the last couple of years, he has been very successful here at Southwell on the jumps course. Eleven winners and eleven placers from just twenty-six runners is absolutely fantastic and of the eight runners that were priced between 15/8 and 7/2 the record reads 62111123, a 50% win strike rate (+8.57pts) and a place record of 87.5%.
In Southwell hurdles races, his record is eight wins and eight places from twenty with the five hurdlers priced in that 15/8 to 7/2 bracket finishing 21113 for +6.39pts.
Nicky’s only got the one runner today: Definite Ruby and she’s sure to be popular in the market. She had finished second and third (twice) already this year from three starts before winning last time out a fortnight ago at Fontwell in what was only her fifth race. She is expected to improve for that run and looks well treated on her return to handicap company, running off the same 115 mark she won off last time around. It is also expected that the step up in trip by a furlong and a half will be more to her liking too.
We’re not going to be able to retire off the back of this one but at a best price of 5/2 (BetVictor, Paddy Power or William Hill), there’s still enough there for us to make a bob or two via a 1pt win on Definite Ruby, but as always I suggest that you…
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