Stat of the Day, 3rd June 2013
A bad day at the office yesterday, I’m afraid. Definite Ruby ran well enough early on, but after a couple of jumping errors, folded like a cheap deck chair, weakened and eventually tailed off from the back. The end result was 6th of 8 at 7/2, the best part of 62 lengths away from the winner!
We’ll not be that far away today, as it’s only a six furlong maiden in the…
Richard Hannon’s recent record is very impressive, having recorded fifteen winners from forty-seven races (31.91%) during 2012 and 2013 so far. The profits from these winners add up to 16.48pts at betfair SP, or 35.1% of stakes. That record is 9/31 (29%) for 13.79pts (44.5%) in non-handicap race and more pertinent to today’s selection: maiden events have produced 6 winners from 20 (30%) and 10.27pts (51.35%) profit.
Mr Hannon runs two horses here at Leicester today: Rundell has a decent chance at 4/1 in the 3.15 handicap race (a race the Hannon team won last year with Pilgrims Rest), but the selection today runs an hour earlier: Hatha Hooh.
This horse is expected to be a far better prospect than the bare result of his 6th placed finish on debut would suggest. His breeding lends itself to him becoming a decent sprinter and he was fancied well enough to be favourite on debut in what now (in retrospect, of course) looks to have been a decent Goodwood maiden. Since that race, the winner has finished second next time out, as has the 4th placed gorse, whilst both the runner-up and the third placed horse have won.
Hatha Hooh was far too keen and green that day and should benefit from the experience, as many of the Richard Hannon stable do. Since 2011, 30 out of 135 of his horses that were unplaced on debut have gone on to win next time out: this 22.2% strike rate has generated some 88.12pts profit at betfair SP, a return of 65.3% which is more than satisfactory.
With the yard’s record here at Leicester in general added to their record in maidens here, their ability to get a horse to improve 2nd time out and the subsequent form of his own maiden race, Hatha Hooh looks a decent 1pt win bet at 5/2. This price is pretty widely available, so for your preferred bookie, simply…
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