Stat of the Day, 4th June 2013
A power cut here this morning means I’m a little behind schedule, so I’ll be as brief as I can here! Third place was the best we could manage yesterday, despite Hatha Hooh leading for much of the contest. He lost the lead inside the closing stages, but rallied to resume his position at the head of affairs. Unfortunately he was unable to hold to the finish and as he hung right, he was passed by two pursuers. The end result was 3rd at 7/4 favouritism: we’d backed him at 5/2, so we did at least beat the market.
So, onto today and the beautiful Yorkshire Dales for a 6 furlong, Class 5 handicap for 3 year olds. The ground is said to be good (firmer in places) for the twelve runners contesting the…
The William Haggas yard is ion good form at present, having saddled up 6 winners and 10 placers from just 28 runners in the last fortnight: a very healthy win strike rate of 21.43%, whilst the yard record here at Ripon in recent times has been even more impressive.
In the last six seasons Mr Haggas has enjoyed a 1 in 3 strike rate at this track (14/42) generating some 35.35pts at betfair SP (+84.17% ROI), whilst over 57% of these runners have made the frame rewarding E/W followers with a 32pt return. Those figures aren’t skewed by one freak season either, the strike rate is pretty consistent throughout, although it is actually a little better more recently, since 2010 that record is 7/20 (35%).
The yard has two runners today here at Ripon: Rock Choir, whilst not without a chance of a place in the 4.30 race, does look up against it with the presence of a very warm favourite. But a half hour earlier sees our selection Gallena take the stage. She was very consistent and progressive in her juvenile season and can be excused the poor result on her handicap debut when she was denied a clear run at Windsor four weeks ago and with just the five runs under her belt (4213-9) she remains very unexposed at this level.
Further improvement is expected of her this season, so a 1pt bet on Gallena at 9/2 BOG with BetVictor looks a decent proposition. This price is quite widely available (Bet365, Ladbrokes and William Hill all go 9/2 on this one), so to see what your bookie is offering simply…
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