Stat of the Day, 5th June 2013
I was late posting yesterday due to a power cut and it would seem the same thing happened to my selection Gallena at Ripon! She travelled really well approaching the furlong pole, but when asked for a finish, there was nothing there. I’m not saying she stopped suddenly, but it did seem like she was treading water late on. She had been challenging for the lead with a little over a furlong to go, yet ended up back in 6th at 7/1, around 7 lengths off the pace.
June hasn’t started well at all after a fruitful May and I aim to rectify that situation today by heading across the water to County Meath for a 12-runner, 7-furlong Maiden of all races! The going is set to be good to firm this evening for the runners in the…
Trainer David Wachman has proved to be quite adept at winning maiden races here at Fairyhouse in recent times, with four winners and four placed horses from his last dozen entries over the past three years. This 33.33% strike rate has brought in profits of 11.23pts at Betfair SP, which represents a very healthy 93.6% return on your money. And of the eight horses that failed to win, one was priced at 16/1 and two at 20/1. These aren’t horses we’d normally consider for SotD, so without them the record becomes even more impressive at 4/9 (44.44%) for 14.23pts ( +158.1%)
Now, David actually has three entries in maidens this evening, with both Remember You and Unravelled making their racecourse debuts in the 5.25 race. I’ve left these alone, as I’d rather see them run first and they’re also up against an O’Brien shortie! However, if pressed, my preference would be for the former to make the frame.
This leaves us, by default, with our selection General Brook, who comes here with the advantage of having had the experience of competing in public, having finished a very creditable second on debut behind the progressive and consistent In Salutem (who incidentally runs in the 5.55 race and could be a good indicator of our chances a half hour later!) and he wasn’t unduly troubled or knocked about that day.
The general feeling is that he’s going to need further than today’s 7f in the long run and is expected to come on for the benefit of that first run and could prove very hard to beat if he’s kept a little closer to the pace today in what is a weaker race than he faced on debut. There are a couple of interesting debutants on show today, but of those with any racing experience, our selection has the best of the form and the 4/1 BOG on offer from Bet365 looks fair if not over generous. As I wrote this, that was the only price on offer, but by the time you get to read this, better odds may be on offer elsewhere, so please…
***Don’t forget, we offer a full racecard service every day,
just click here for more details.***