Stat of the Day, 8th June 2013
It paid to stick with Team Cumani yesterday as Kirsty Milczarek gave an excellent ride to Mankini in the last race at HQ yesterday to land her first win there since 2008, some 48 rides ago! Mankini took the lead with well over a furlong to go, but was headed and looked in danger of going down, but Kirsty rallied him and he found some extra and stayed on well to win by a length at 3/1 (we’d got on at 7/2).
North Yorkshire is our port of call today for competitive looking 7f, Class 3 handicap. The ground is said to be Good To Firm for the eight runners set to do battle in the…
David O’Meara’s yard is in good form at present with eight winners from twenty-eight in the last week alone and he sends a half-dozen runners to Catterick today to build on what is a decent record at this North Yorkshire track.
It’s not often that you can blindly back a trainer at a specified track regardless of odds or type of race etc and still show a profit, but throughout his career, David has sent 127 runners here, finding 23 winners (18.1%) for a respectable 18.8pts profit at Betfair SP (+14.8%). And in the last twelve months his record here is ten winners from forty-seven (21.3%) for a gain of 21.8pts (+46.4%), including a win in this very race last year.
He looks keen to repeat last year’s victory by running three horses in this year’s renewal, including last year’s winner and today’s selection Powerful Presence.
Powerful Presence is obviously a C&D winner courtesy of winning this race a year ago and runs off the same mark of 87 as a year ago. He comes here in good form himself, having won at Musselburgh last Saturday. To date, this horse has already clocked up 8 wins from 28 attempts since coming over from Ireland, a very healthy 28.6% strike rate and his record on Good To Firm ground is four wins from five. The trip will be fine, as he’s 6/16 over 7f and his record here at Catterick reads 121 all over today’s trip.
He likes to be up at the head of affairs and provided he can be kept to his work and towards the head of the pack, I see no reason why he won’t be there or thereabouts again this afternoon. So, my call is a 1pt win bet on Powerful Presence at 7/2 BOG. Most of the big firms are offering 7/2 at present and I’ve just got on at that price with Paddy Power, but you really should…
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