Ugh. It happens from time to time, and yesterday was one of those times. Despite siding with the very heavily backed Waahej in the opener – eventually sent off at 11/10 – we suffered the ignominy of the early bath. A poor dividend of £31 was small consolation, and we’ll try again tonight at Newton Abbot, where the combo of big fields and small ones is quite appetizing!
6.00 – Leg 1: A big field, yes, but plenty of dead wood to cut back and make it more manageable. The two best pieces of form in the race belong to Kilbree Kid and General Barton, both in Irish good ground bumpers. While it’s a worry that the latter tumbled at the first on his hurdling bow, the booking of McCoy implies some extensive schooling has transpired since then.
Kilbree Kid won two points since his flirtation with National Hunt Flat contests, and his known ability on decent ground makes him an A pick too.
Lady Lectra has a reasonable piece of track form which merits her inclusion, and Benefits Well could run better on quicker, which would put him in the shake up too. Lady on B, Benefits misses the cut.
A – 4 (Kilbree Kid)
B – 3 (General Barton), 16 (Lady Lectra)
6.30 – Leg 2: Ah, the good stuff. An eighteen runner selling handicap hurdle. Let the carnage ensue! We’ll load up the scattergun and hit all those with going, distance, class and big field form. That’s five of ’em, excluding rags, Mangonel and Wild Tonto.
A – 10 (Sovereign Spirit), 14 (Green Lightning)
B – 12 (Jewellery), 13 (Iheardu), 17 (Master Wells)
7.05 – Leg 3: Baby Mix looks ‘bar a fall’ place material. He jumped well on debut and was rated as high as 149 over hurdles, which is a stone and more better than his rivals. The Racing Post has him as unreliable, but he’d have picked these up over the small obstables, and with a course and distance win under his saddlecloth already, I’m banking on him. If we get a good result in the previous race, it could be worth a cheap place lay at around 1.33.
A – 1 (Baby Mix)
7.35 – Leg 4: This is far from a Sydney Melbourne procession, in my view, and I really like Kylenoe Fairy against him. Tzora’s best form has come in bigger fields, so Rime Avec Gentil would have been favoured on B were it not for cash constraints. Cry Of Freedom is a huge price, and goes well for Jack Quinlan, winning twice for him. But it’s two A’s only here, and the prayer mat will be out!
A – 5 (Sydney Melbourne), 6 (Kylenoe Fairy)
8.10 – Leg 5: This is a proper handicap chase, with plenty back to winning marks IF they can rediscover their best form. Sound Stage is perhaps the pick of those and is worth opposing the top of the market with. The younger Lucy’s Legend is also of interest, and could make it a fun night for Paul Henderson after Kylenoe Fairy in the previous contest. Wait No More has been in good form and, despite a weights rise, ought to run his race again on favoured course, distance and going.
A – 2 (Sound Stage), 3 (Wait No More), 7 (Lucy’s Legend)
8.45 – Leg 6: And we finish with an amateur lady riders’ handicap hurdle. Yikes!
This could go lots of different ways, and the first thing to say is I’ve discounted my top rated because he’s 33/1 (that’s Tri Nations in case you were wondering). In his stead, I’ve got four A’s and three B’s.
On A, I’ll roll with Sure Thing and Captain Sharpe, as well as bigger prices in The Sneezer and Caught By Witness; and on B, I’ll insure with Dashing Doc, First Morning, and Detroit Red. Phew.
A – 1 (Sure Thing), 5 (Captain Sharpe), 6 (The Sneezer), 10 (Caught By Witness)
B – 2 (Dashing Doc), 11 (First Morning), 13 (Detroit Red)
Just A’s – 1 x 2 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 4 = 48 bets
All picks – 3 x 5 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 7 = 630 bets
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