Sat TV Trends: 29th June 2013

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Can Ile De Re Land Back-to-Back Plates?……

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle, while the C4 cameras also head to Newmarket Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered….

 

Newmarket (C4 and RUK)

2.20 – bet365 Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Never raced at the track before
10/11 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
10/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
7/11 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/10 – Came from stall 4 or lower
7/11 – Didn’t win their previous race
4/11 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 2 Queen Mary)
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 5.3/1

2.55 – bet365.com Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/11 – Aged 4 years-old
7/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/11 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
5/11 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/11 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/11 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 6.3/1

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3.30 – bet365 Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

10/11 – Won over 7f before
10/11 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
9/11 – Had at least 1 run already that season
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
7/11 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 9/1
Richard Hannon’s LIBRANNO won the race in 2011 & 2012

Newcastle (ATR/C4)

2.05 – Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Unplaced last time out
10/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Aged 5 or older
8/11 – Yet to win a Group race
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 6.8/1

2.40 – Betfred “Watch Fred´s Pushes On Betfred TV” Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

11/11 – Aged 6 or younger
11/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/11 – Had won over 6f before
8/11 – Rated 90 or less
8/11 – Had won between 1-4 times before
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/11 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11- Ran at York last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tim Easterby
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 12/1

 

3.15 – John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4

10/11  – Won over at least 1m4f previously on the flat
10/11 – Placed fifth or better in their last race
9/11 –  Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Winners from stall 14 or lower
9/11 – Carried 8-11 or less in weight
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m6f previously on the flat
8/11 – Placed in the top three in their last race
8/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
6/11 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that campaign
5/11 – Won by a National Hunt yard
3/11 – Won their latest race
3/11 – Raced at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 6 years)
2/11 – Won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 15/1

Northumberland Plate Facts

Since 1985, No horse older than 8 has won the race
Five of the last seven winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time
Since 1985 there have been seven winning favourites (1 joint)

3.50 – Betfred “Still Treble Odds On Lucky´s” Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

11/11 – Had won over 7f or a mile before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Rated between 80-90
9/11 – Had ran within the last 2 weeks
8/11 – Had won between 2-5 times before
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Had run at Newcastle before (2 won)
7/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
3/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/11 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
Memory Cloth won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 6.8/1

 

 

Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays

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