Sat TV Trends: 29th June 2013

Can Ile De Re Land Back-to-Back Plates?……

The Northumberland Plate takes centre stage at Newcastle, while the C4 cameras also head to Newmarket – Andy Newton’s got all the TV races covered….

Newmarket (C4 and RUK)

2.20 – bet365 Empress Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Never raced at the track before
10/11 – Had won over either 5 or 6f before
10/11 – Returned 10/1 or shorter in the betting
9/11 – Won by either a Feb or March foal
7/11 – Had either 2 or 3 previous runs
7/10 – Came from stall 4 or lower
7/11 – Didn’t win their previous race
4/11 – Ran at Royal Ascot last time (2 Albany, 2 Queen Mary)
3/11 – Winning favourites
3/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 5.3/1

2.55 – bet365.com Fred Archer Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m4f CH4

11/11 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
11/11 – Aged either 4 or 5 years-old
9/11 – Had between 0 and 2 previous runs that season
9/11 – Placed favourites
9/11 – Didn’t win their previous race
8/11 – Aged 4 years-old
7/11 – Returned 10/3 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won over 1m4f before
7/11 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
5/11 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
2/11 – Won by the Kremlin House stable
2/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/11 – Trained by Luca Cumani
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 6.3/1

3.30 – bet365 Criterion Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 7f CH4

10/11 – Won over 7f before
10/11 – Had won a Listed (or better) class race before
9/11 – Had at least 1 run already that season
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Priced 6/1 or bigger in the betting
7/11 – Came from stall 3 or lower
7/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
6/11 – Unplaced favourites
4/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/11 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 9/1
Richard Hannon’s LIBRANNO won the race in 2011 & 2012

Newcastle (ATR/C4)

2.05 – Betfred Chipchase Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f CH4

11/11 – Had won over 6f before
10/11 – Unplaced last time out
10/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Has raced within the last 4 weeks
8/11 – Aged 5 or older
8/11 – Yet to win a Group race
8/11 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
7/11 – Had won at least 4 times before
7/11 – Placed favourites
6/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
6/11 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/11 – Had run at Newcastle before
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
2/11 – Ridden by Paul Hanagan
2/11 – Trained by Richard Fahey
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 6.8/1

2.40 – Betfred “Watch Fred´s Pushes On Betfred TV” Handicap Cl2 6f CH4

11/11 – Aged 6 or younger
11/11 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
8/11 – Finished unplaced last time out
8/11 – Had won over 6f before
8/11 – Rated 90 or less
8/11 – Had won between 1-4 times before
7/11 – Carried 9-0 or more
7/11 – Had raced within the last 2 weeks
7/11 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
6/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
6/11 – Aged 4 years-old
5/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
4/11 – Had run at Newcastle before
3/11 – Ran at Doncaster last time out
2/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11- Ran at York last time out
2/11 – Winning favourites
2/11 – Trained by Tim Easterby
1/11 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 12/1

3.15 – John Smith´s Northumberland Plate (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 2m19y CH4

10/11  – Won over at least 1m4f previously on the flat
10/11 – Placed fifth or better in their last race
9/11 –  Won by a horse aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Winners from stall 14 or lower
9/11 – Carried 8-11 or less in weight
8/11 – Had won over at least 1m6f previously on the flat
8/11 – Placed in the top three in their last race
8/11 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
6/11 – Had at least 2 turf flat runs already that campaign
5/11 – Won by a National Hunt yard
3/11 – Won their latest race
3/11 – Raced at Haydock last time out (inc 3 of the last 6 years)
2/11 – Won on the flat at Newcastle before
2/11 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 11 runnings is 15/1

Northumberland Plate Facts

Since 1985, No horse older than 8 has won the race
Five of the last seven winners ran at either Ascot or Haydock last time
Since 1985 there have been seven winning favourites (1 joint)

3.50 – Betfred “Still Treble Odds On Lucky´s” Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

11/11 – Had won over 7f or a mile before
10/11 – Aged 6 or younger
9/11 – Had won over 7f before
9/11 – Rated between 80-90
9/11 – Had ran within the last 2 weeks
8/11 – Had won between 2-5 times before
8/11 – Aged 5 or younger
8/11 – Had run at Newcastle before (2 won)
7/11 – Carried 9-1 or less
7/11 – Placed favourites
7/11 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/11 – Unplaced in their last race
5/11 – Winning favourites
5/11 – Returned 11/4 or shorter in the betting
3/11 – Won last time out
3/11 – Ran at Ascot last time out
2/11 – Trained by Brian Ellison
2/11 – Trained by Kevin Ryan
Memory Cloth won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 6.8/1

Follow Andy Newton Here – @NewtsDailyLays