Back on the winning trail yesterday, as the Yarmouth placepot dividend returned a very fair £97.40, considering that five favourites and a joint-second favourite were placed. We had two A lines winning, returning £194.80 for a £24 stake, as well as plenty of the ticket builder and A/B lines.
It’s the turn of Chester today, and we’ll see how that plays out…
2.10 – Leg 1: There’s a fair bit of speed in this race, including the odds on favourite, Salford Red Devil. But he’s not the best drawn, and might end up three or four wide at the turn, which is far from ideal around the Roodee. He makes A, on his own, but I’ll have B’s as well, in the shape of the quick and talented Limegrove; and the poorly drawn but able, Money Team.
A – 2 (Salford Red Devil)
B – 1 (Money Team), 7 (Limegrove)
2.45 – Leg 2: Wow. A ten runner field where they bet 5/1 your choice! Obviously it’s a race where all have a chance. Lady Ibrox is very interesting – drawn five – in that she’s won twice and been placed on her other run here. She’ s been running in some good races and, with pace inside from Storm Moon and Rusty Rocket, she might just be able to slipstream them and quicken in the straight. The softer the better for her too.
Those two – Storm Moon and Rusty Rocket – have early speed and good draws to avail of it, but their collective record here is no wins, no places, from eight starts, which hardly breeds confidence. In fairness to Rusty Rocket, he’s generally had a car park draw and then when he finally did get a good draw, the saddle slipped! But he’s a horse for whom you have to make a lot of excuses, and there might be better candidates here.
There aren’t really any excuses for Storm Moon, who was best drawn – and favourite – the last time he raced here, and he was well beaten.
Decision By One might run better today, drawn one, and is another capable of showing good early speed. With the rail to guide, he’s worth a place on B.
Sir Maximilian and Doctor Parkes will need plenty of gaps to open for them, but are capable five furlong horses, and go on B too.
Incidentally, it’s yet another sprint race at Chester where the two widest drawn have become non-runners. Honestly, they might as well make five furlong races a ten runner maximum field.
A – 8 (Lady Ibrox), 11 (Rusty Rocket)
B – 1 (Sir Maximilian), 2 (Doctor Parkes), 10 (Decision By One)
3.20 – Leg 3: Duke Cosimo tickles the noggin for all sorts of reason. A progressive favourite drawn on the wide outside – and one that likes to race prominently as well. And a Sir Michael Stoute horse ridden by… Jimmy Quinn?! Well, it turns out they have partnered up before, as recently as nine days ago, when they were successful. Prior to that, there were only a dozen other occasions in the past decade when they’ve joined forces. But that baker’s dozen – including the most recent run – has yielded eight 1-2-3 finishes. A.
I’ll also include Penny Garcia on A, as she is in form and this seven might be spot on for her.
On B, I’m taking back class in the shape of Heavy Metal and Queen Aggie, the former a Group 2 winner, the latter always seems to run well here.
A – 10 (Duke Cosimo), 12 (Penny Garcia)
B – 1 (Heavy Metal), 11 (Queen Aggie)
3.55 – Leg 4: This will be much more to Kiama Bay’s liking than the fast ground Haydock marathon he contested last time. He was closing when baulked in his run here on his penultimate start, and I think he’s booked for a big effort today.
The one which might just slip them is Watts Up Son, likely lone speed here, and sure to improve for his debut effort when fourth. He’ll carry them to the home turn I expect, and then we’ll see. Worth including.
There’s been bundles of cash for Assizes, but I just can’t see why, and I’m happy to let him grab one of the places if good enough. The vast majority of the available evidence is that he’s not good enough.
A – 1 (Kiama Bay), 7 (Watts Up Son)
4.25 – Leg 5: The three of this quartet with experience have been VERY hard to win with so it might well be worth leaning towards the unraced Bushel, subject of some support. I’ll include the top-rated Ducab too, and hope that trail-blazing Khudoua doesn’t finally get off the mark at the eighth time of asking.
A – 1 (Bushel), 2 (Ducab)
4.55 – Leg 6: And a really tight little five runner mile and a half handicap to close. It’s the sort of race where one could get loose on the lead and prove hard to pass. If that scenario is to unfold, then Muthmera might be the one to benefit. It’s impossible to discount any of them, though, and being short on ammo doesn’t help us!
Dali’s Lover is the most consistent of these, ignoring a blip when she didn’t stay over an extra quarter mile, and she completes the wager for today.
A – 2 (Muthmera), 5 (Dali’s Lover)
Just A’s – 1 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 32 bets
All picks – 3 x 5 x 4 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 480 bets
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