No good yesterday and, after a good month on the placepot front, I was tempted to give it a miss today. But I do feel that there might be a way to play Uttoxeter this afternoon, by going skinny on the first three legs and flabby on the last three. Let’s see if that’s the right way to go..
1.40 – Leg 1: This is a Class 5 maiden hurdle. Selling hurdles are also Class 5 contests. Ergo, this is not a very good contest, despite a number of runners having 2’s and 1’s to their name. I’m interested most in the 122-rated Letsby Avenue, a rating that would win almost all selling hurdles and would be too high to contest a Class 5 handicap hurdle.
If that rating is to be believed, and I think it probably should, then he’ll take a lot of beating. Some of the others near the top of the market have something to prove, which is why they’re in here. I might be wrong – I often am – but I’m playing the King horse as a banker.
A – 4 (Letsby Avenue)
2.10 – Leg 2: Lyssio banker. Cockney Class quite interesting – highly rated on the flat and staying on over ten furlongs last time, despite being bred to be a sprinter. But Lyssio was also decent on the level, and must make the frame bar a fall.
A – 1 (Lyssio)
2.40 – Leg 3: Royal Swain was good enough to finish sixth in a Grade 2 bumper at Aintree a few seasons back, and was last seen when winning in heavy ground on the level. He’s had his problems since, and actually works with geegeez’ own Priceless Art at home. Basically, if he’s not asked to do too much today – and that’s perfectly possible in a bad race – he’ll win. If he is, he might not even be placed. As such, he goes on A, but not alone.
This trip and decent ground is Waterford Star’s tipple and he’ll shore up A, for a two line investment to the half way mark.
A – 7 (Royal Swain), 9 (Waterford Star)
3.10 – Leg 4: And then it got harder. Much harder. Nice! 🙂
Knight In Purple has a huge amount going for him here, and I’m surprised to see he’s 20/1. A winner of six hurdle races, the last three in this grade (Class 3), and as recently as two starts back, he loves fast ground and two miles. He’s already seen off several of these in recent starts, and he must be too big a price given that he patently failed to stay last time over an extra half mile. He’s just a pound higher than his last winning mark, too.
Favourite Baccalaureate looks a swerve given a double-figure field record of no wins, no places, from thirteen starts! In fact, his ten wins have all been in fields of eight or less. His double digit form reads 560000068P8P8. Hmm. Basically, he needs his own way in front, and when he doesn’t get it, he sulks. He might win, but I’d be a layer, for sure.
Devil To Pay, Scoglio and Teak are all worthy of A play, and I’m firing the scatter gun still further here with Solaras Exhibition and Ruler Of All in the hope of a result.
A – 2 (Knight In Purple), 5 (Devil To Pay), 8 (Scoglio), 12 (Gud Day), 13 (Teak)
B – 1 (Ruler Of All), 7 (Solaras Exhibition)
3.45 – Leg 5: Another big field, and hugely competitive contest, with money for plenty. Those back to winning marks include Prince Tom, Helpston, Deireadh Re and Galaxy Rock, and I’ll play all those alongside Pineau De Re, Pure Faith and Problema Tic. Yes, it’s a blunt instrument approach, but this is a ferociously competitive contest.
A – 3 (Problema Tic), 4 (Pineau De Re), 7 (Pure Faith)
B – 5 (Prince Tom), 8 (Helpston), 9 (Galazxy Rock), 13 (Deireadh Re)
4.20 – Leg 6: A lot of dead wood and there is a progressive horse, Emerald Glade, as the short priced favourite. He’s from respected connections (though I’m no fan of their approach), and is included on A.
On B, I’ll take a few of the ‘used to be good, could bounce back’ mob. Specifically, Vertueux, fit from the flat; Tadabeer, jobbed up and beaten last time; and, Van Diemen’s Land, dropping in class after a fair run last time.
A – 11 (Emerald Glade)
B – 1 (Van Diemen’s Land), 2 (Vertueux), 9 (Tadabeer)
Just A’s – 1 x 1 x 2 x 5 x 3 x 1 = 30 bets
All picks – 1 x 1 x 2 x 7 x 7 x 4 = 392 bets
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