Stat of the Day, 2nd July 2013
A great start to July as our 11/2 shot Talent Scout just about got home after being well backed and sent off as the 7/2 favourite. Conceding weight all round and bidding for a hat trick, he was boldly ridden by Gemma Tutty whose decision to strike out up front and make all was justified as she managed to hold off the fast finishing Lord Franklin by a neck.
Jockeys can often be criticised for making poor judgement calls regarding the pace of a race, but not this time, I’m happy to go on record to say that Gemma Tutty was fantastic yesterday and I’m hoping that one of her fellow lady jockeys can repeat the feat today in the…
The lady jockey in question here at Brighton is Nicole Nordblad whose figures here at this track are extraordinary to say the least. She has won five of her six races here to date and the only blot on the form line was a 2nd placed finish behind Highlife Dancer who then won his following race too. So, she has a record of 111121 here with those five winners producing a fantastic 69.73pts profit at betfair SP (+1162%).
Just the one ride for Nicole today: Beacon Lady, a filly who is also developing into a Brighton specialist with a course record of 12021, generating 19.14pts profit from those five runs: a return of almost 383% over stakes invested.
Nicole has ridden this horse on four previous occasions and has won twice and runner-up once (121 here at Brighton, with the unplaced effort coming at Chepstow). Beacon Lady is raised 6lbs for her recent exploits, but her form, her liking for the track, her partnership with the jockey who has great record here and the drop in trip (which may slightly negate the weight rise) still give me encouragement for this one today.
She’s highly likely to go off as favourite and I wouldn’t be surprised if she doesn’t run at 2/1 or shorter, so I’m happy enough to place my 1pt bet on Beacon Lady at 5/2 BOG this morning. This price is widely available (I’m on with BetVictor), but she was 11/4 when I started writing this piece, so I’d advise you to…
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