Stat of the Day, 4th July 2013
We had to settle for second best again yesterday, as Taleteller was beaten by a fast finishing 20/1 shot! Our selection had broken well from the far outside stall to get across and lead around the turn, but was headed by a runner to her right 2f out. She battled back gamely to regain the lead, but was eventually beaten by one coming up the inside.
She wasn’t as strong in the market as I’d expected though (SP was 4/1 from our advised 11/4), but she was very close to proving them wrong. As an aside, the other runner I mentioned yesterday (Respect Me) was also 2nd at 4/1.
We’re heading as far East as you can go today, for a tea time trip to the seaside, where a Class 4 handicap race over nine furlongs awaits us. A small-ish field tonight, as just seven runners are set to contest the…
The first name that comes to my mind when I look for a selection at Yarmouth is Brian Meehan. Over the last twelve months, his runners have performed exceptionally well here. He doesn’t send too many, but those that come here, come here to win as a record of 151111 over the last year demonstrates. His runners are generally quite well backed, but those five winners from six have still returned healthy profits of over twelve points and we look to extend that sequence today.
Just the one runner here for Brian in the form of Freeport, although he does run one at Epsom and a couple at Haydock, where I like the look of Great Hall as a possible E/W bet.
Freeport had a decent and consistent season as a 2 yr old, despite not managing to shed his maiden tag, finishing in third place on three successive occasions between June and August last year. He was then rested until his seasonal reappearance at Windsor at the end of May over a trip just half a furlong shorter than today, before running really well in defeat at Doncaster last time out.
He was only beaten by a neck by Kohlaan at this level of race (Class 4) and he was staying on well at the end and would most likely have won if the race was over today’s trip of an extra furlong.
His breeding and the way he finished last time out suggest he’ll get today’s trip and he has only got up 1lb in the weights on the back of that Doncaster run, so he’s still quite favourably treated and any repeat of that last outing should see him on the premises again this afternoon.
I’d expect the favourite Odeliz to be well backed today, leaving the door open for our selection to be backed at a decent price, so I’m happy to place a 1pt win bet on Freeport at 9/2 BOG with BetVictor, whilst 4/1 seems to be the norm elsewhere. However, I’d advise that you…