Daily Dabble, 7th July 2013
Well, both horses selected on Saturday were first past the post. Unfortunately, in race 1, Midnight Feast crossed the line without a jockey on his back, having unceremoniously dumped Kieran Fox to the ground approximately three seconds into the race! The horse veered right immediately after leaving the stalls and the jockey was simply unable to stay on board.
This meant the double was down without even so much as a run for our money. Singles backers will, however, have taken some comfort in the fact that I called Invincible Cara out as the likely winner of race 2 and she didn’t disappoint under a patient ride from Adam Kirby who waited for the gap to appear before pressing home at 5/1.
All well and good, but we need to get two home today, starting with the..
Where I’m siding with Full Toss to over turn the favourite. He had a decent enough season last year, winning at Newcastle and also over course and distance here. His last outing was the Silver Cambridgeshire, where he ran very well and was by no means disgraced, finishing 6th of 28 runners at a massive price of 50/1. He was beaten by less than 4 lengths that day and the four horses immediately in front of him that day have all gone on to win since. The winner Henry Allingham, has also yet to reappear. We’ll obviously not be getting 50/1 again for this lesser contest, but the 13/2 we can get looks more than fair.
Sagredo looks very leniently treated here today, as he returns to hurdling after three runs on the flat designed to sharpen him up a little. He was well fancied last time out at Chepstow (backed into 3/1 favouritism), but he didn’t like the softness of the ground (good to soft that day). He runs here back over hurdles off a mark of just 110, having been as high as 123 within the last year and for a horse who consistently makes the frame (16 times from 36, including 6 wins), the 7/1 on offer looks to big to ignore today.
Today’s double pays 59/1 BOG today with Paddy Power, whilst the place element is priced at just over 9/2 (4.52/1 to be exact).
Back Full Toss & Sagredo in an each way double with Paddy Power with the win part paying 59/1 (Best Odds Guaranteed)