Daily Dabble, 12th July 2013
Yesterday’s new approach didn’t quite pan out as hoped/expected. Cara Gina was very weak in the market and drifted out from our advised 5/4 to an eventual SP of 9/4. This lack of confidence was well founded as she could only finish 3rd of 5 runners and she was well beaten if truth be told (almost 5 lengths off the winner in a 5f race!)
Our tale of woe was completed ten minutes later when Wadi Al Hattawi failed to justify his 11/10 fav price tag (we’d taken 15/8) when going down by three parts of a length. His 2nd place was at least an improvement upon race 1, but that’s about it!
We’re looking for much better from today’s pairing, starting with the..
I’m going with Justification here, who is currently available at around the 11/8 mark. The Ballydoyle team are in fantastic form again at present and this race represents this horse’s ideal route back into the winners’ enclosure. Good enough to be sent off as favourite in the Chester Cup, he was by no means disgraced when beaten by some decent horses into 7th place with the overall margin of defeat only a little over 4 lengths. The drop back to 2m will help today, as will the fact that this race is weaker than those he has contested of late. Today is only his second visit to this track, but he did win here on his previous outing.
Tom Dascombe’s 3 yr old Double Discount is on a roll at present and seeks to complete a hat trick over today’s trip. When he won last time out, the victory was far more comfortable than the half-length official margin would suggest, as he was eased down considerably once the job was done. The way he saw off his rivals that day implies that the 6lb penalty he carries today wouldn’t be enough to stop him, regardless of the fact that the yard has decided to use the very capable 5lb claimer Declan Bates to negate the majority of the penalty. By no means a shoo-in, but he should bring home the bacon tonight at odds of around 11/10.
Back Justification & Double Discount in a double with either of BetVictor or Paddy Power paying 4/1 BOG (3.9875/1 to be precise)