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It’s Windsor’s evening meeting for us, kicking off at six o’clock
6.00 – Leg 1: Griffin Point steps up in class having been beaten the last twice. I’m surprised that he’s favourite in that context. Drawnfromthepast has a lot in his favour, and is dropping down from Class 4. Chance. Ryan Style is in good form, but is pretty inconsistent. Triple Dream is getting on a bit now, but he also drops in class, having run the last thirteen times in Class4, a sequence which included a win and six placed efforts.
Definite early bath prospects, but we might need some bullets later…
A – 1 (Drawnfromthepast), 3 (Triple Dream)
6.30 – Leg 2: A seven runner seller, in which two have no chance whatsoever. Hilden will probably try to lead and she’s well treated at the weights despite carrying topweight. She would have to give about ten pounds weight for age in a handicap. If she can replicate her last run, she has a definite chance in a poor race.
Azelle bids to give Cameron Hardie his first win as a jockey, and he might just get it here. Azelle will track the pace and she’s the highest rated in the field. Day In Day Out is hard to fancy, even in this grade and from well respected connections.
With just two places to aim at, we’re sailing close to the wind again here, but if we’re still rolling after leg two, we will have good chances.
A – 1 (Hilden), 5 (Azelle)
7.00 – Leg 3: This isn’t as simple as it looks. The market has it between a Hannon and a Beckett in Speed The Plough and Taquka. But Stellarta has form to compete, and Skinny Love may not be out of it either.
Taquka may just have the better form of the first two, and is included. Skinny Love ran a lovely first race, having missed the break and, if getting away on terms, she might improve enough to challenge.
A – 2 (Speed The Plough), 3 (Taquka)
B – 5 (Skinny Love)
7.30 – Leg 4: Tricky, this one. Existing form is moderate, and I have no ‘ins’ with the unraced horses. Best to go with the market to some degree. Dodger Marley and Trading Profit on A; Sandy Cove and Xanthos on B.
A – 3 (Dodger Marley), 8 (Trading Profit)
B – 7 (Sandy Cove), 9 (Xanthos)
8.00 – Leg 5: Ethel is expected to run very well here. She’s got bundles of improvement to come, and has little to find on form with the best of these. The form pick is Lady Cecil’s Zayran, and this pair will hopefully take us through.
A – 1 (Zayran), 5 (Ethel)
8.30 – Leg 6: Just five in the lucky last and a non-runner would make this win only. Sunblazer and Thwart both like to get on with it, and are both in form. They might catch the market favoured pair of Glenard and Red Runaway – both of which are normally held up – for speed, and nick it. The latter pair, despite sharing favouritism are good enough for B only.
A – 4 (Thwart), 5 (Sunblazer)
C – 1 (Red Runaway), 2 (Glenard)
Just A’s – 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 = 64 bets
All picks – 2 x 2 x 3 x 4 x 2 x 4 = 384 bets
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