Daily Dabble, 17th July 2013
A poor show all round yesterday, I’m afraid. Powerful Wind ran out of steam late on and despite only being headed inside the final furlong, weakened so badly that he finished back in 5th of 6 runners, over 13 lengths behind the winner!
And it was a pretty similar story at Killarney too, where Rain God led, was headed a furlong out and also finished 5th of 6. His margin of defeat was “only” just under five lengths, though.
Much, much better is needed today, starting with the…
Thunder Sheik comes here looking to complete a 24-day hat trick after wins over today’s trip at Worcester and then over this C&D 17 days ago. He had Lyssio five lengths behind him that day, yet Lyssio was a commanding 21-lengths winner at Newton Abbot on Monday. Understandably higher in the weights today, the 6lb penalty will give his rivals a little hope, but the way he has seen out his races strongly of late suggests he’ll have far too much in his locker today and whilst a price of 5/4 isn’t over generous, it probably is a fair assessment of his chances.
I’m going with Al Thumama, a 3yr old filly also seeking a hat trick today. She likes to make all from the front and is very difficult to pass once she gets her head in front and I’d expect her to employ the same tactics today. He first win was over 8.5f before stepping up to 11f last time out. She looked like she wanted further on both occasions and the step up to today’s mile and a half could be just the ticket for this improving filly. She looks a decent prospect for us here today at a price of around 7/4.
Back Thunder Sheik & Al Thumama in a double with Bet365 paying just over 5/1 BOG (5.1875/1)