Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013

As one of our readers pointed out yesterday, these selections have performed unbelievably poorly of late and yesterday was no exception, I’m afraid.

What I can tell you is that the run of poor results is not down to a lack of effort on my part and I’d never put up a horse I wasn’t prepared to back with my own money. For the record Entrenched was awful yesterday, having drifted from our advised 11/4 out to 5/1, he was slow away and showed little before finishing last of the 5 runners, some 16 lengths off the pace.

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Two hours later, Sky Khan gave a much better display, before being edged out in a close finish, going down by just a neck.

The record, however, will show another blank and I aim to rectify this today, starting in the…

2.10 Haydock

Just three runners go to post for this one and I’m going with Vital Evidence. He won a maiden at Sandown last time and is out of Group 1 winner. He looked like he needed further last time out and today’s extra two furlongs should suit him well. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute who has a 42.9% strike rate in handicap races at Haydock in the July/August period and is very good at getting horses to win on their handicap debut when stepping up in trip and a 36.8% strike rate backs up that theory. Only 3 run here, so no big prices, but 11/8 still looks reasonable here.

4.45 Nottingham

Former course and distance winners have a near 30% strike rate and an ROI of over 100% when returning to Nottingham and Stellar Express comes here in good nick too. She won well on Saturday at Chester and now returns to Nottingham for a drop in trip to 1 mile. Today is her 6th crack at this trip here and to date she is 3/5 over course and distance. Ajmany is a real danger, but his presence means we can get a reasonable price of around 3/1 for our pick.

Back Vital EvidenceStellar Express in a double with BetVictor paying 17/2 BOG

***PS Don’t forget, you can find all today’s racecards right here!***

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