Daily Dabble, 19th July 2013
As one of our readers pointed out yesterday, these selections have performed unbelievably poorly of late and yesterday was no exception, I’m afraid.
What I can tell you is that the run of poor results is not down to a lack of effort on my part and I’d never put up a horse I wasn’t prepared to back with my own money. For the record Entrenched was awful yesterday, having drifted from our advised 11/4 out to 5/1, he was slow away and showed little before finishing last of the 5 runners, some 16 lengths off the pace.
Two hours later, Sky Khan gave a much better display, before being edged out in a close finish, going down by just a neck.
The record, however, will show another blank and I aim to rectify this today, starting in the…
Just three runners go to post for this one and I’m going with Vital Evidence. He won a maiden at Sandown last time and is out of Group 1 winner. He looked like he needed further last time out and today’s extra two furlongs should suit him well. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute who has a 42.9% strike rate in handicap races at Haydock in the July/August period and is very good at getting horses to win on their handicap debut when stepping up in trip and a 36.8% strike rate backs up that theory. Only 3 run here, so no big prices, but 11/8 still looks reasonable here.
Former course and distance winners have a near 30% strike rate and an ROI of over 100% when returning to Nottingham and Stellar Express comes here in good nick too. She won well on Saturday at Chester and now returns to Nottingham for a drop in trip to 1 mile. Today is her 6th crack at this trip here and to date she is 3/5 over course and distance. Ajmany is a real danger, but his presence means we can get a reasonable price of around 3/1 for our pick.
Back Vital Evidence & Stellar Express in a double with BetVictor paying 17/2 BOG