Saturday TV Trends: 20th July 2013

Can Talent Follow-up Her Epsom Win?

Andy Newton’s got all the trends for Saturday’s TV races from Newmarket, Market Rasen & Newbury, plus the Irish Oaks over at the Curragh.

Newmarket (C4/RUK)

1.50 – poptelecom.co.uk Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
Godolphin won the race in 2011

2.25 – Newsells Park Stud Stakes (Registered As The Aphrodite Stakes) (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) Cl1 1m4f CH4

9/10 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
9/10 – Won over at least 1m2f or further before
8/10 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
7/10 – Placed favourites
7/10 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
6/10 – Won between 1-2 times before
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
4/10- Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/10 – Won last time out
3/10 – Trained by John Gosden
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3.7/1

Newbury (C4/RUK)

2.05 – “Choose EBF Nominated” Fillies´ Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
5/5 – Carried 9-6 or more in weight
4/5 – Aged 4 years-old
2/5 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/5 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
1/5 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/1

2.40 – Sharps Brewery Steventon Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 1m2f6y CH4

8/9 – Had raced within the last 6 weeks
6/9 – Had run at the track before
6/9 – Had won over 1m2f or further before
5/9 – Placed favourites
5/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or  more
5/9 – Had won a Group race before
5/9 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Priced 4/1 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
2/9 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
2/9 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/9 – Won last time out
1/9 – Winning favourites
0/9 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 10/1

3.15 – GT Exhibitions Hackwood Stakes (Group 3) Cl1 6f8y CH4

8/9 – Won over 6f before
7/9 – Had won 4 or more times before
6/9 – Placed favourites
6/9 – Aged 5 or younger
6/9 – Priced 15/2 or shorter in the betting
5/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Had won a Group race before
4/9 – Ran at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
3/9 – Winners from stall 8
3/9 – Won last time out
2/9 – Trained by Hughie Morrison
1/9 – Winners from stall 1
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

3.50 – Weatherbys Super Sprint Cl2 5f34y CH4

8/9 – Had won over 5f before
8/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
8/9 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
7/9 – Won 1-2 times before
5/9 – Won by a Feb or March foal
5/9 – Favourites placed in the top 4
4/9 – Irish bred horses
4/9 – Won by a filly or mare
4/9 – Won last time out
4/9 – Raced at Ascot last time out
3/9 – Winners from stall 1
3/9 – Trained by Richard Hannon
2/9 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 20/1

Market Rasen (C4/RUK)

2.55 – Betfred Mobile Lotto Summer Hurdle (Handicap) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m1f CH4

11/11 – Had run within the last month
10/11 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
9/11 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
8/11 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
6/11 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
4/11 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/11 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/11 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
1/11 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 12/1

3.30 – Betfred Summer Plate (Handicap Chase) (Listed Race) Cl1 2m6f110y CH4

11/11 – Had run within the last 3 months
10/11 – Had won over at least 2m5f before
9/11 – Aged 7 or older
9/11 – Had won 2 or more chases before
8/11 – Finished 1^st or 2^nd last time out
8/11 – Carried 10-13 or less
7/11 – Won their previous race
6/11 – Had run at Market Rasen before
4/11 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/11 – Trained by Peter Bowen
3/11 – Ridden by AP McCoy
4/11 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/11 – Trained by the Pipe stable
2/11 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 4)
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 9.3/1

Curragh (ATR)

6.15 – Darley Irish Oaks (Group 1) (3yo)

9/10 – Had won between 1-2 times previously
9/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Finished 1st or 2nd in their last race
9/10 – Priced 9/2 or shorter in the market
9/10 – Came from the top 3 in the market
7/10 – Won their last race
7/10 – Favourites placed
6/10 – Winning distance, 3 lengths or more
6/10 – Ran in the Epsom Oaks last time out
6/10 – Won over 1m4f previously
5/10 – Had won a Group One before
5/10 – Favourites winning
5/10 – Won by a UK-based trainer
4/10 – Won the Epsom Oaks last time out
3/10 – Won by the Aidan O’Brien yard
2/10 – Ridden by jockey Johnny Murtagh

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