Daily Dabble, 24th July 2013
Our patience was finally rewarded yesterday as we broke our losing run with a nice 4/1 double. We had been knocking on the door of late, selecting a winner with a runner-up in each of the preceding two days, but we just about got home last night.
I’d suggested that Idyllic Star would be an easy winner if she was in the right mood and thankfully she was. The even money we took soon disappeared as she went off at a more realistic 8/13 and she eased herself home by the best part of 5 lengths and it could have been more.
Race 2 was a completely different kettle of fish, as we needed every ounce of the jockey’s 10lb claim to get us home by a neck. My Lucky Flame was headed at the last fence, but rallied gamely to regain the lead on the run in and just about held on to take the race at the 6/4 price we’d jumped on at.
We secured the double by as narrow a margin as we’ve been losing by in the past, so maybe a change of fortune is occurring. If so, I aim to take advantage with today’s runners, who kick off this evening in the…
It’s a pretty poor looking race to be honest, but every race has a winner and I think Mandy The Nag is the one to beat here. I am, admittedly, taking a bit of a punt that she might reproduce some of her A/W form here on turf, but she comes into this race in the best form of any of the runners. She comfortably won a claimer at Southwell 13 days, scoring over a mile by some 5 lengths easing down at the end and ran really well in a strong handicap at Kempton last week, where despite running in a far tougher race than this, was still placed third after only being headed in the final 100 yards by the in-form Progenitor, who looks a good bet in the 8.50 race here tonight too. We can currently get 6/4 about Mandy The Nag, so hopefully that’ll give us a few pennies to go onto…
Where Homage is the DD pick. He is an unexposed and still progressive 3 yr old who finished third and then second in his first two maiden outings, before making it third time lucky at Kempton over 6 furlongs back in October. He was then rested until mid-May when he made his handicap debut, winning a 7f Class 4 contest at Haydock. He then stepped up to Class 3 for his hat-trick attempt over today’s course and distance seven weeks and only narrowly failed to make it three in a row. He only went down by half a length to Ashhaad that day, the winner has since stepped up and won a Class 2 handicap. Any repeat of his last run should see Homage back in the winners’ enclosure celebrating a win at odds of around 15/8.
Back Mandy The Nag & Homage in a double with either of BetVictor or Paddy Power paying a shade over 6/1 BOG at 6.1875/1