Ascot Placepot Picks, 27th July 2013

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Geegeez Placepot

It’s been a frustrating week on the placepot front. All six jollies made the frame yesterday, and the pot paid £41, which was pretty good in the circumstances. That first race Stoute beast did for us though. Onwards, to some big fields at Ascot again.

2.05 – Leg 1: There are not generally too many surprises in this 6f Group 3 for 2yo’s, and the favourite, Wind Fire, sets a good standard. Third to the machine, No Nay Never, he was only a head behind Coach House, and this extra furlong should suit as she’s bred for middle distances. I think she’s sure to run well and she’s a banker in the first race. Please don’t let it be another early bath this week. I’m clean as a whistle already!!

A – 10 (Wind Fire)

2.40 – Leg 2: If we got away with that, then we can spread out a bit over the next two races, as we may well need to. A few of these are taking this on en route to the Betfred Mile at Glorious Goodwood next week, and it’s the hold up horse Cape Peron I like most (though I don’t like him for his follow up race!)

With Mark Johnston’s tough guy, Henrytheaviator, set to take them a long a good number of pace chasers, there should be an honest gallop here and that will suit Cape Peron perfectly, who looks primed for a late charge even with the burden of top weight.

Tarikhi is another doubly entered, and his prominent racing style should allow him first run on the fav. That second place at Royal Ascot implies he can make the frame here. On B, I’ll take some chances: Fehaydi, Makafeh, and Machete Mark all have form to put them in the  mix in what is a wide open contest.

A – 1 (Cape Peron), 4 (Tarikhi)
B – 6 (Fehaydi), 7 (Makafeh), 10 (Machete Mark)

3.15 – Leg  3: It’s the usual suspects here, specifically Bertiewhittle, Redvers, Compton, Es Que Love and Shamaal Nibraas. Big field seven furlong handicap form. It’s not rocket science. 😉

And, because I’m a chicken, I’ll add the unnamed favourite on B. Unheard of!

A – 8 (Es Que Love), 11 (Bertiewhittle), 13 (Redvers)
B – 9 (Shamaal Nibraas), 28 (Compton), FAV

3.50 – Leg 4: Cirrus Des Aigles is better than these, but I’m not sure he stays a truly run mile and a half. But he’s better than these, and I’m not sure he doesn’t stay a truly run mile and a half! Forget his last run: he’s clearly been targeted at later season pots. Indeed, in six seasons of racing he’s NEVER won first time out. He’s a class act. Maybe the class act, and he’s a cert for A.

It’s just whether or not we take something with him. I think I’m going to chuck in Trading Leather, because a) he’s got very good form (Irish Derby winner), and b) he looks suited by the pace, being a presser off what should be a strong gallop set by Universal and/or Ektihaam.

A – 1 (Cirrus Des Aigles)
B – 8 (Trading Leather)

4.25 – Leg 5: My word. A big field lady amateur riders’ race. Karaka Jack is ridden by Miss A Deniel, a competent jockey who has won on the horse before. That counts for a lot. Capaill Liath bids to give Hayley Moore a hat-trick in the race and this course and distance winner must have been the choice of the jockey.

And Serena Brotherton rides Graphic, a decent horse with a decent jockey. They’re my A trio.

On B, I’ll roll with Red Seventy and See The Storm, both of which have won in recent starts at this trip.

A – 1 (Capaill Liath), 4 (Karaka Jack), 6 (Graphic)
B – 9 (Red Seventy), 12 (See The Storm)

5.00 – Leg 6: A race won by Toronado and Raven’s Pass in recent years, so very much one to keep an eye on. It’s tricky, with just seven runners, and perhaps Safety Check will get first run. But the prominent racing style of both Washaar and Emirates Flyer means they should be close enough if good enough. I’d imagine it’s between that trio, and I’ll take Emirates Flyer and Washaar.

A – 2 (Emirates Flyer), 6 (Washaar)

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Just A’s – 1 x 2 x 3 x 1 x 3 x 2 = 36 bets

All picks – 1 x 5 x 6 x 2 x 5 x 2 = 600 bets

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Ascot placepot picks

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