Sat TV Trends: 27th July 2013

It’s King George day at Ascot, while the C4 cameras also head to York – Andy Newton’s got all the big TV race trends & stats.

Ascot (C4/ATR)

2.05 – Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies) Cl1 6f CH4

9/10 – Returned 11/2 or shorter in the betting
9/10 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
8/10 – Foaled in either Feb or March
8/10 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
8/10 – Had won just once before
8/10 – Favourites that finished in the top 4
6/10 – Won over 6f before
5/10 – Ran at Ascot last time out
5/10 – Winning favourite
3/10 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Won by trainer Alan Jarvis
2/10 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/10 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 11/2

Note: The 2005 renewal was staged at Newbury

2.40 – Deloitte Handicap Cl2 1m CH4

Only 2 previous runnings
Luca Cumani has a 21% strike-rate with his 3 year-olds at the track
Mick Channon is just 2 from 50 with this 3 year-olds here
Jeremy Noseda is 0 from 31 with his 3 year-olds at the track
Richard Fahey is only 1 from 24 with his 3 year-olds here

3.15 – Cash Out Multiples Only On Betfair International (Heritage Handicap) Cl2 7f CH4

10/10 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
10/10 – Had raced at Ascot previously
10/10 – Won by a horse aged 5 or younger
9/10 – Won between 2-4 times previously
9/10 – Won over 7f previously
8/10 – Favourites unplaced
7/10 – Returned a double-figure price in the market
7/10 – Carried 8-9 or more in weight
7/10 – Winning distance – ½ length or less
7/10 – Winners that came from outside the top three in the market
6/10 – Aged 4 years-old
4/10 – Raced at Newmarket last time out
3/10 – Raced at Ascot last time out
2/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Trained by Clive Cox
2/10 – Ridden by Jimmy Quinn
2/10 – Ridden by Richard Hughes
0/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 16/1

Note: The 2005 running was staged at Newbury

3.50 – King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes Sponsored By Betfair (British Champions Series) (Group 1) Cl1 1m4f CH4

11/11 – Had won a Group 1 or 2 race before
11/11 – Aged 3 or 4 years-old
10/11 – Had 2 or more runs that season
9/11 – Won over 1m4f previously
9/11 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the market
9/11 – Placed in their last race
8/11 – Previous Group 1 winner
7/11 – Had raced Ascot previously
6/11 – Winning favourites
6/11 – Won their last race
5/11 – Raced at Royal Ascot last time out
5/11 – Won at Ascot before
3/11 – Ridden by Johnny Murtagh
3/11 – Trained by Sir Michael Stoute
The average winning SP in the last 11 years is 7/2
Sir Michael Stoute won the race in 1981, 1983, 2002, 2009 & 2010
Saeed Bin Suroor won the race in 1995, 1997, 1998, 1999 & 2004

York (C4/RUK)

2.20 – Sky Bet Home of The Price Boost Handicap Cl2 7f CH4

5 previous runnings
5/5 – Returned 8/1 or shorter
5/5 – Raced within the last 6 weeks
5/5 – Carried 9-3 or more
4/5 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
4/5 – Rated between 73 and 80
4/5 – Had won over 7f before
3/5 – Had won at York before
3/5 – Returned 4/1 in the betting
3/5 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
2/5 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
1/5 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 5 runnings is 5/1

2.55 – Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 1m2f88y CH4

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged 6 or younger
6/7 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
6/7 – Rated between 112 and 117
5/7 – Horses from stall one that finished in the top two
5/7 – Had won over 1m2f before
5/7 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
5/7 – Had won at least 4 times before
5/7 – Had raced within the last 4 weeks
3/7 – Aged 6 years-old
3/7 – Ran at Sandown last time out
3/7 – Had run at York before
3/7 – Winning favourites
2/7 – Trained by Saeed Bin Suroor
The average winning SP in the last 7 runnings is 5/1

3.30 – Sky Bet Dash (Handicap) Cl2 6f CH4

9 previous runnings
9/9 – Raced within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Raced at either Hamilton, York, Newmarket or Ascot last time
8/9 – Carried 8-12 or more
8/9 – Drawn in stall 10 or lower
8/9 – Had won between 2-6 times before
8/9 – Returned 9/1 or shorter in the betting
7/9 – Aged 5 or younger
7/9 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
7/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
6/9 – Had run at York before
5/9 – Placed favourites
3/9 – Ridden by Kieren Fallon
2/9 – Trained by Richard Fahey
2/9 – Winning favourites
1/9 – Won last time out
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

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