Salisbury Placepot Picks, 14th August 2013

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Geegeez Placepot

Geegeez Placepot

A big pot yesterday and one which we missed, alas. There were some good pointers amidst the previews though, including a nod to 66/1 Cheyenne Red (2nd) and a banker selection of Toto Skyllachy (4/1 winner). It’s Salisbury this afternoon for us…

2.20 – Leg 1: Captain Bob sets the form standard but has been quite weak in the market today, and the drop back in trip doesn’t look ideal either. As such, it’s probably worth looking elsewhere. Likely candidates are Richard Hannon’s certain improver, Decimus Maximus, and the unraced Illegal Action who, mercifully, doesn’t have Harry Bentley (usual stable jockey) on board. Major Jack takes a big drop in class from his Class 2 debut over course and distance, and ought to be a lot more clued up this time.

A – 4 (Decimus Maximus), 9 (Major Jack)
B – 2 (Captain Bob), 8 (Illegal Action)

2.50 – Leg 2: A nursery over a mile, with all runners stepping up in trip. The favourite, Truth Or Dare, may be very tough to beat and is an A selection. But I want to add a bit more support in what might be a more competitive tussle than first meets the eye. Mawzoona is the one bred to appreciate the step up – by Authorized – while Street Force has been very highly tried and drops in grade markedly here. Brownsville is a big distance mover for Mark Johnston, which raises a metaphorical eyebrow here.

A – 2 (Truth Or Dare)
B – 1 (Street Force), 5 (Brownsville), 6 (Mawzoona)

3.20 – Leg  3: Russian Realm gets in here very lightly and looks the one. Trained by Sir Michael Stoute, a man whose only two runners in the eight year history of the race both won, this lad ran a noble third in that white hot maiden won by Remote (all of the eight subsequent runners from the top ten there have won since!).

I think he’ll probably win, though the price has gone to that end. He’s a banker here though.

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A – 8 (Russian Realm)

3.55 – Leg 4: Bana Wu, Bana Wu, Bana Wu, I love you. Yes, I am a member of the Bana Wu fan club, and this filly has plenty of them at Andrew Balding’s stable including the trainer’s wife! She (Bana Wu, not the trainer’s wife) ran a blinder at Royal Ascot from a nightmare draw in the Listed Wolferton Handicap and, with a plum draw here for last year’s winning trainer, she looks to have a lot in her favour. A.

Rock Choir is the jolly and she’s a progressive 3yo. Three-year-olds have finished first and/or second in all of the last ten renewals, and have actually placed 40% of their runners since 1997. The top-rated is the Hannon-Hughes’ Light Up My Light. She clearly didn’t give her running last time, but was a good second in Listed class before that. Today she’s up in trip and is bred to make a go of that. Hippy Hippy Shake might be a more reliable proposition though, as a Listed winner over this trip last time.

In what looks a trappy enough contest, I’ll take a few.

A – 2 (Bana Wu), 9 (Rock Choir)
B – 1 (Hippy Hippy Shake), 7 (Light Up My Life)

4.30 – Leg 5: A non-runner makes it seven going to post, and therefore only two places. There might be a fair bit of pace on here, with all of Danehill Dante, Lisa’s Legacy, and Ingot Of Gold liking to get on with things. That being the case, it could pay to side with something held up close ish to them, and that might be Red Shuttle. It’s pretty tough to gauge who is best in here, in truth, and I’m again loading up.

On B, I’ll have Danehill Dante, Superciliary, both at big prices; and on A, I’ll risk Ingot Of Gold along with Red Shuttle and the first time handicapper, Silk Route.

A – 2 (Red Shuttle), 6 (Ingot Of Gold), 7 (Silk Route)
B – 3 (Danehill Dante), 5 (Superciliary)

5.00 – Leg 6: The finale is an apprentice handicap where whips are carried but not used. Whitstable Native has been heavily backed and has strong seven furlong decent ground form, as well as the services of the capable Nora Looby. Ivor’s Princess represents the Millman father/son team, and will again get support from the saddle that some of these won’t. He’s dropped to a very tempting mark and the money suggests far more is expected today after some horror efforts in recent runs (different trips).

Annes Rocket will need some pace in order to pass tiring nags, but she might get it with both Perfect Mission and Pink Mischief pace-pushing protagonists. If we get through this, the pot should be worth having, so fingers crossed.

A – 2 (Annes Rocket), 3 (Ivor’s Princess), 5 (Whitstable Native)

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Just A’s – 2 x 1 x 1 x 2 x 3 x 3 = 36 bets

All picks – 4 x 4 x 1 x 4 x 5 x 3 = 960 bets

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Salisbury placepot picks

Salisbury placepot picks

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