York Placepot Picks, 21st August 2013
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Wow, that was a toughie. 10/1 and 25/1 filling out the places and, in truth, my next pick was only good enough for third, so I’d definitely not have had that one, alas. Onwards, to the first big pot of the week on the Knavesmire. These picks are based on my Day One York Preview here.
1.55 – Leg 1: Eighteen of the twenty are still standing as I write, and we should get four places here. It’s a dangerous approach but I’m putting all bar one of my eggs in the high draw basket here. On A, I’m keen on Above Standard, Lady Gibraltar and Bogart; whilst on B, last year’s winner, the big priced Tax Free, and Goldream, a more obvious choice.
A – 9 (Bogart), 19 (Above Standard), 20 (Lady Gibraltar)
B – 14 (Tax Free), 16 (Goldream)
2.30 – Leg 2: The Grey Gatsby should run well and is A banker material, while I like the look of Il Paparazzi’s form for B.
A – 4 (The Grey Gatsby)
B – 3 (Il Paparazzi)
3.05 – Leg 3: Despite being dubious about the merit of Telescope’s form to date, the trainer is respected immensely, and the horse gets A status on that basis. He’s joined by Secret Number.
A – 4 (Secret Number), 6 (Telescope)
3.40 – Leg 4: A tough race to predict, and a great race to watch. The percentage play is to bank on Al Kazeem, and hope there’s some pace in the race, perhaps provided by Trading Leather. So that’s what I’ll do.
A – 1 (Al Kazeem)
4.20 – Leg 5: This is the hardest race of the day for me. Broxbourne is a filly in form, and she was unlucky last time. And Wyborne looks the type to improve today. Willie Wag Tail has been well supported, and will be the third part of my A triumvirate.
I’m taking B’s here too, in the shape of Suraj, Eagle Rock, Martin Chuzzlewit and Crackentorp. Phew.
A -10 (Broxbourne), 11 (Willie Wag Tail), 14 (Wyborne)
B – 2 (Suraj), 8 (Crackentorp), 12 (Martin Chuzzlewit), 13 (Eagle Rock)
4.55 – Leg 6: There just remains the small matter of a fifteen runner nursery handicap to close this thing out. Two absentees have already reduced the available place pool from four to three berths, so we need to be on our mettle. I’m a big fan of Jazz (the horse, not the musical genre), and I think he might have won at Goodwood last time with a soupçon more luck.
I also like Tiger Twenty Two and Tanseeb.
On B, I’ll have the unexposed ones: Ventura Quest, Les Gar Gan, and Blurred Vision.
A – 4 (Tanseeb), 6 (Tiger Twenty Two), 7 (Jazz)
B – 11 (Ventura Quest), 13 (Blurred Vision), 17 (Les Gar Gan)
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Just A’s – 3 x 1 x 2 x 1 x 3 x 3 = 54 bets
All picks – 5 x 2 x 2 x 1 x 7 x 6 = 840 bets
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